PRDCT Politics

Record election wagering volume is cited as a stress test of platform liquidity and integrity under live vote counting.

A court order blocks Kalshi from offering sports-related event contracts in California as tribes argue the products violate their gaming exclusivity.

Markets moved to extreme probabilities on Democratic control of Congress in the final hours before polls closed.

The state suit adds to a growing set of legal challenges over whether event-contract platforms must comply with state gambling laws.

Investors welcomed a split government, with analysts citing lower odds of major legislative swings.

Post-midterm pricing shifted the Democratic 2028 field, with Ossoff moving ahead of Newsom and others.

Dan Patrick's loss and shifting legislative makeup are seen as opening a path for gambling bills in Texas.

Republican nomination markets repriced after GOP midterm losses, boosting alternative 2028 candidates.

The defeat keeps Nebraska without online sports wagering even as other states weigh expansion.

The warnings highlight the legal patchwork as prediction markets expand into state election contests.

The state-level figure underscores how much election betting activity concentrated in individual 2026 races.

Traders turned to the next presidential cycle in volume after midterm results settled.

The advocacy group argues market prices mispriced key races, rebutting industry victory claims.

A post-mortem finds the platform called the direction of the 2026 midterms correctly while understating the margin.

Late ballot counting moved the Los Angeles mayoral market decisively toward Raman.

A multi-state series tracks which candidates led in prediction markets across the 2026 map.

Betting odds diverged from conventional expectations in a deep-red state race.

Senate President Bill Ferguson's return keeps online casino legislation on the state's agenda.

Ohio results matched market pricing on several statewide contests.

A local survey captures public skepticism toward prediction markets headquartered in New York.

A comparison highlights the widest gaps between polling models and market odds in 2026 races.

Local congressional contests attracted notable market volume during the 2026 cycle.

Indiana wagers tracked the Bayh campaign's position as votes were counted.

The forecasting outlet says its model led peers in calling the House outcome and placed second on the Senate.

An industry operator describes how election-cycle momentum could carry into non-election periods.

Volume data shows control-of-Congress contracts dominated election trading.

Late movement in a competitive House district drew market attention.

Live polls and charts pages compete with market pricing as the primary real-time election signal.

State-level odds roundups aggregate market prices across key contests.

Traders flagged two Senate contests as potential surprises on Election Day.