Better Markets says prediction markets failed to predict 2026 elections
The advocacy group argues market prices mispriced key races, rebutting industry victory claims.
Read at Better Markets →Full coverage · 15 outlets
- Better Markets · lead
- ReutersPrediction markets price Democratic sweep as US midterm betting soars
- The GuardianAre prediction markets accurate on elections? The US midterms are a big test
- The American Action ForumPrediction Markets and the Problem of Calling Elections
- Yahoo FinancePrediction markets vs. polls: Election forecasting industry faces midterm test
- The HillPrediction markets foresaw Democratic dominance in midterm elections
- CNBCGamble on democracy: Inside suspicious election-contracts trading on prediction markets
- AxiosFinal polls, models and markets see a "blue tsunami"
- Brennan Center for JusticeNew Study Finds Prediction Markets Are Influencing Voters - and Voters Want Them Regulated
- NewsNationFinal midterm projections give Democrats high odds to sweep Congress
- Federal News NetworkBest Prediction Markets for 2026 – Top Trading Platforms
- Center for Democracy and TechnologyBetting on the Ballot? How Prediction Markets Can Reshape the Election Environment
- KHOUPolls show tight Texas Senate race, but prediction markets tell a different story
- Covers.com2026 Midterm Results: Prediction Market Accuracy and Key Upsets
- Hindustan TimesUS midterms 2026: Prediction markets and polls differ over Democrats' chances | Hindustan Times