The NBA became the third major U.S. league to sign a CFTC cooperation agreement, naming Kalshi and Polymarket preferred exchanges with an integrity framework an

The benchmark provider will license its indices for Kalshi event contracts and turn prediction market probabilities into tradeable index products.

Traders had priced a Bolsonaro win, and the miss has become the central test case for whether prediction markets can forecast elections accurately.

Politico reports credibility is on the line for the venues as they face their first U.S. midterm cycle at scale.

The agency's enforcement posture has tightened as event contracts expand, and Kalshi responded with new surveillance measures.

Kalshi faces allegations it did not fully respond to the New York regulator's investigative demands amid its legal fight with the state.

The league set an integrity framework with veto rights over markets and designated the two exchanges as preferred partners, a significant commercial endorsement

The agreement formalizes CFTC-NBA cooperation on surveillance and insider trading in basketball-related contracts, part of the agency's push to police event mar

The defense secretary warned that wagers on operations could leak signals to adversaries, the latest official pushback on event markets touching national securi

The case is an early test of how prosecutors treat insider trading on political event markets.

Volume ahead of the midterms has drawn scrutiny over whether the platforms' odds match electoral reality.

Politico reports that a mismatch between market odds and outcomes in November could damage the sector's reputation with regulators and media.

The league's first prediction market partnerships, reportedly also including DraftKings, come with an integrity framework and a CFTC data-sharing agreement as s

The licensing deal lets official S&P index values determine settlement of Kalshi contracts and explores indices built from prediction market data, extending eve

New York regulators say Kalshi did not comply with investigative subpoenas, escalating the state's jurisdictional fight with the CFTC-regulated exchange.

New Jersey's petition seeks high court clarity on whether federally regulated prediction markets are exempt from state gambling oversight.

The volume milestone shows prediction markets becoming a mainstream venue for US election wagering despite unresolved state-level legality questions.

Kalshi and other platforms priced Lula's chances near 20% before his win, renewing debate about the calibration and reliability of election markets.

The unexpected result tested prediction markets' reliability, with Lula winning despite trading at roughly 20% odds on some platforms.

The volume marks prediction markets as a major venue for US midterm speculation as their forecasting credibility faces scrutiny.

The industry's forecasting reputation is on the line as midterm outcomes approach and debate over accuracy intensifies.

The deal brings the prediction market firms into mainstream sports in a significant expansion beyond election and event contracts.

Researchers warn that market odds are increasingly cited in election misinformation narratives.

Forecasters and analysts offer competing midterm projections as the election nears.

The NBA is the latest major US league to embrace regulated event contracts while committing to an insider-trading and integrity framework with the CFTC.

The benchmark provider will derive indices from Kalshi's event-contract odds, extending prediction markets into mainstream financial products.

The analyst note argues event contracts are becoming a core revenue driver for retail brokers, driving its crypto stock outlook alongside Coinbase and Circle.

Analysts and investors are focused on whether prediction markets and record revenue can reverse a sharp share decline.

The tax treatment debate could reshape margins for event-contract venues as states and regulators scrutinize the sector.

The forecast underscores how quickly analysts expect event contracts to scale into a standalone industry.

The league will share data with the CFTC and endorse two prediction market operators, making the NBA the first major US league to formally back the sector while

The agency signaled heightened scrutiny of trading on nonpublic information as sports leagues formalize integrity frameworks with prediction market operators.

The New York Gaming Commission says Kalshi failed to comply with investigative subpoenas, escalating state-federal tension over prediction market jurisdiction.

The prediction market operator is mounting another state-level legal challenge as regulators test whether its event contracts fall under gambling statutes.

Congressional scrutiny of high-value customer programs targets both traditional sportsbooks and newer prediction market venues.

Crypto.com is courting liquidity providers as competition for event contract trading volume intensifies.