The report raises insider-trading and nonpublic-information concerns for prediction markets handling geopolitical contracts.

The directive adds a federal ethics layer to the growing scrutiny of insider betting on event contracts.

The filing escalates the state-federal fight over whether event contracts are gambling or regulated futures.

The deadline pressures sportsbooks to sever event-contract partnerships or risk their state licenses.

The outreach signals Kalshi's push beyond sports and politics into macro hedging products for institutions.

The proposed contracts would let traders take positions on acceptance rates, extending event markets into education data.

The Pentagon's ban follows a soldier allegedly using classified mission details to win about $400,000 on Polymarket, drawing attention from Congress and the Whi

The record week underscores how quickly event-contract trading has scaled, though questions remain about whether the volume reflects durable demand or speculati

The CMO's exit follows an internal probe into fake-trade activity, a reputational test for Polymarket as it faces heightened regulatory scrutiny.

The total illustrates prediction markets' growing role in US elections, which regulators and lawmakers are watching closely.

Polymarket traders heavily favor Flavio Bolsonaro on the eve of the second round of Brazil's presidential runoff.

The stunt drew criticism from gambling-harm groups as evidence of expanding advertising by prediction markets.

The state regulator says Kalshi is defying investigative subpoenas, escalating the jurisdictional fight over whether state gaming law applies to the federally r

New Jersey's petition would have the Supreme Court settle whether states can regulate prediction markets operating under CFTC oversight.

The move follows scrutiny of trading on political and geopolitical events, including a Pentagon insider trading ban after a $400K bet on Maduro's removal.

The ban follows a $400K betting scandal tied to a soldier's wagers on Maduro's removal from power.

The volume figure shows political events have become one of the largest categories on Kalshi and rival venues.

The case is an early test of how insider trading rules apply to geopolitical prediction markets.

The case is the first criminal reckoning over insider betting on the timing of the 2024 UK general election, with the defendants receiving suspended sentences.

Rising political trading volume is fueling a debate over whether markets or polls are the better election predictor.

The brokerage's view matters because federal and state bills targeting event contracts remain a key risk for venues like Kalshi and Polymarket.

The divergence between forecasters and betting markets is drawing scrutiny as 2026 midterm pricing firms up.

State-level legal ambiguity over election wagering is becoming a live issue as usage spreads outside regulated venues.

The forecast adds to a growing set of models showing Democrats favored to take the Senate in 2026.

Robinhood's event contracts are tilting toward crypto and short-duration price bets, a product mix the company highlighted ahead of its Q3 report.

Coinbase is pushing into high-frequency crypto price contracts, competing with exchanges and sportsbooks for event-driven trading volume.

DraftKings is positioning for either outcome as courts and regulators weigh the legality of event contracts.

The analyst view frames prediction markets as the point where wagering and trading platforms merge.

Kalshi is expanding from event contracts into macroeconomic data derivatives, a market long dominated by traditional futures venues.

The brokerage is pulling sports-based event contracts in Connecticut, adding to a patchwork of state-by-state restrictions.

The state regulator is escalating its enforcement fight with the CFTC-regulated exchange over sports and election event contracts.

The petition frames the core federal-state question of whether CFTC-supervised prediction markets are exempt from state gambling law.

Ohio joins a growing set of states moving to wall off licensed operators from event contracts as betting on sports and politics surges.

The federal regulator's action adds another front to the dispute over how small-stake event contracts are supervised.

The broker's retreat shows state pressure pushing platforms out of event contracts market by market.

Industry conference discussion centers on how the state-federal conflict could shape the size of the prediction market sector.