Markets18 stories ›
CFTC proposes rule defining event contracts as swaps while excluding casino-style gambling
The CFTC's proposed framework would give it federal authority over prediction market contracts as swaps while drawing a line between event contracts and traditi
ForkLog · +15 outlets
NFL, Ohio and other parties urge Supreme Court to take up Kalshi sports betting case
Multiple states and the NFL are pressing SCOTUS to review whether states can regulate prediction market sports contracts, a case that could settle the federal-v
Field Level Media · +14 outlets
Kalshi investigating long-shot bets that correctly predicted Trump's press secretary pick
Kalshi is scrutinizing suspicious trades placed before the announcement and has rolled out new insider-trading security measures, raising fresh questions about
CNN · +11 outlets
DraftKings draws focus as prediction markets reshape US sports betting
Analysts and investors are weighing how the surge in NFL event trading on Kalshi and Polymarket affects regulated sportsbook operators like DraftKings.
Yahoo Finance · +9 outlets
Blockchain.com files for CFTC licenses to launch US prediction markets and crypto derivatives
The crypto firm is seeking DCM and FCM approvals to offer event contracts in the US, adding a new entrant to the prediction market venue race.
Crowdfund Insider · +14 outlets
ARK Invest buys Kalshi shares as Cathie Wood backs $1T-$5T prediction market opportunity
The fund's stake signals institutional conviction in the long-term scale of event trading, though Kalshi's valuation is not disclosed.
Bonus.com · +1 outlets
Polymarket18 stories ›
Google security engineer charged with making $1M on Polymarket using inside information
The case is the highest-profile insider trading charge tied to a prediction market platform and comes as regulators scrutinize event contracts.
CNBC · +12 outlets
CFTC proposes classifying event contracts as swaps while excluding casino-style gambling
The rulemaking would reshape how Polymarket and Kalshi are regulated and is the clearest signal yet of the agency's stance on event contracts.
ForkLog · +14 outlets
Kalshi says it is adding new security measures to fight insider trading
Platforms are racing to shore up surveillance as insider trading allegations mount across sports and political markets.
CoinMarketCap · +13 outlets
Army special forces soldier pleads not guilty to $400K Maduro raid bets, Trump calls world a 'casino'
The prosecution tests whether trading on classified military knowledge counts as insider trading on prediction markets.
PBS · +13 outlets
Kalshi seeks $40B valuation, widening lead over Polymarket
A $40B raise would cement Kalshi's dominance in US prediction markets, where it holds roughly 89% share.
CoinMarketCap · +10 outlets
US senators push bill to ban sports betting on prediction markets
The legislation targets the sports contracts that have driven much of the platforms' recent volume growth.
CoinMarketCap · +14 outlets
Kalshi18 stories ›
Kalshi scrutinizes long-shot bets that correctly called Trump's pick for White House press secretary
Small wagers on Katie Zacharia, a conservative commentator few saw as a front-runner, would have paid out multiples if the trades were valid, prompting the exch
WSJ · +15 outlets
CFTC proposes classifying event contracts as swaps while excluding casino-style gambling
The proposal would fold prediction market contracts into existing swap rules and draw a line against games of chance, a regulatory question central to Kalshi an
ForkLog · +14 outlets
Prediction markets' NFL boom puts sports betting rules to the test
Surging NFL volume on event-contract exchanges is testing the boundary between federally regulated derivatives and state-licensed sports wagering.
Bloomberg.com · +3 outlets
Kalshi says it is adding new security measures to combat insider trading on its markets
The platform is tightening surveillance and hiring enforcement talent, including a former FBI agent, as regulators and critics question how much inside informat
NPR · +13 outlets
Kalshi leads prediction markets' $3 million campaign to fight off state regulations
The industry is pooling lobbying and legal resources as state gaming regulators and lawmakers challenge the legality of sports and election contracts.
Times West Virginian · +11 outlets
Kalshi seeks $40B valuation, widening its lead over Polymarket
The reported fundraising target would make the exchange one of the most valuable private US trading venues.
CoinMarketCap · +11 outlets
Politics11 stories ›
CFTC proposes rules dividing prediction market contracts from sportsbook wagers
The agency's proposed exceptions to its swaps definition would set separate treatment for event contracts and traditional sports betting, a key question as pred
KuCoin · +14 outlets
Kalshi and Polymarket midterm markets face insider-trading scrutiny
Concern that informed insiders can profit on election contracts is drawing attention as midterm volumes climb.
Bonus.com · +14 outlets
Polymarket prices Democrats at 62% to sweep midterms, putting CLARITY Act at risk
Crypto markets are watching the odds because a Democratic sweep could reshape the stalled digital-asset market structure bill.
Bitcoin News · +5 outlets
Election betting booms ahead of midterms as states weigh whether they can curb it
State lawmakers, including in Ohio, are debating bans and limits as election-related prediction markets grow.
The New York Times · +8 outlets
NBER paper finds prediction markets showed no partisan bias since 1880
The research is relevant to arguments over whether election markets price outcomes fairly.
PPC Land · +1 outlets
Live 2026 midterm markets show prices diverging from polls
Traders and forecasters are comparing market-implied odds with polling averages as the midterms approach.
Action Network · +14 outlets
Platforms13 stories ›
CFTC proposes rules to separate prediction market event contracts from casino gambling
The draft rulemaking would exclude sportsbook and casino wagers from the swap definition while placing event contracts under federal derivatives oversight, resh
www.tokenpost.com · +14 outlets
Kalshi expands beyond prediction markets with US stock index futures offering
The move pushes Kalshi into traditional derivatives territory long dominated by established futures exchanges.
ATS.io · +14 outlets
FanDuel secures FCM license, raising questions about CME's role in prediction markets
A sportsbook operator obtaining futures commission merchant status signals convergence between gambling and regulated derivatives venues.
Bonus.com · +2 outlets
Blockchain.com files with CFTC for DCM and FCM licenses for event contracts
The crypto exchange is seeking federal approval to launch US prediction markets and crypto derivatives.
RG.org · +9 outlets
Kalshi holds 89% of US prediction market share as legal battles mount
Dominant share figures come as the company faces a growing set of state and federal challenges.
CoinMarketCap · +4 outlets
IG chief questions what Kalshi and Polymarket volume records are worth
A rival brokerage executive disputes the significance of reported prediction market trading volumes.
TradingView · +5 outlets
Regulation14 stories ›
CFTC proposes rule classifying event contracts as swaps while excluding casino-style gambling
The proposal would give the CFTC explicit federal authority over prediction market contracts by defining them as swaps, while carving out traditional sportsbook
ForkLog · +15 outlets
Ohio and states press Supreme Court to take up prediction market case as NFL joins fight
Multiple parties are urging the Supreme Court to clarify whether federal regulators or states control event contracts, with a ruling potentially coming in 2027.
Bonus.com · +14 outlets
39 states and CFTC clash over regulation of sports prediction markets
A broad coalition of state regulators is contesting the CFTC's authority over sports-related event contracts.
KuCoin · +14 outlets
Seminole Tribe sues DraftKings over Florida prediction market
The tribe alleges DraftKings' prediction market product infringes on its Florida sports betting exclusivity.
World Casino News · +14 outlets
Kalshi expands beyond prediction markets into US stock index futures
The CFTC-regulated exchange is moving into traditional derivatives, extending its product line beyond event contracts.
ATS.io · +14 outlets
Ohio cracks down on prediction markets as election betting cash floods midterms
State officials are weighing whether they have authority to curb election-related contracts ahead of the midterms.
Signal Ohio · +1 outlets