CFTC proposes rules dividing prediction market contracts from sportsbook wagers
The agency's proposed exceptions to its swaps definition would set separate treatment for event contracts and traditional sports betting, a key question as pred
KuCoin · +14 outlets
Kalshi and Polymarket midterm markets face insider-trading scrutiny
Concern that informed insiders can profit on election contracts is drawing attention as midterm volumes climb.
Bonus.com · +14 outlets
Polymarket prices Democrats at 62% to sweep midterms, putting CLARITY Act at risk
Crypto markets are watching the odds because a Democratic sweep could reshape the stalled digital-asset market structure bill.
Bitcoin News · +5 outlets
Election betting booms ahead of midterms as states weigh whether they can curb it
State lawmakers, including in Ohio, are debating bans and limits as election-related prediction markets grow.
The New York Times · +8 outlets
NBER paper finds prediction markets showed no partisan bias since 1880
The research is relevant to arguments over whether election markets price outcomes fairly.
PPC Land · +1 outlets
Live 2026 midterm markets show prices diverging from polls
Traders and forecasters are comparing market-implied odds with polling averages as the midterms approach.
Action Network · +14 outlets
Kalshi departure market lets traders price odds Trump leaves the presidency
The contract is one of the more closely watched political markets on the venue.
Covers.com · +8 outlets
Forecasts post for 2026 midterms and Senate control
New models from Silver Bulletin and FiftyPlusOne add to the slate of midterm and Senate control projections.
270toWin.com · +14 outlets
Talarico's odds assessed as absence stirs controversy in Texas Senate race
The Texas Democratic Senate contest is drawing market and polling attention amid a candidate controversy.
Newsweek · +1 outlets
Iowa Senate race odds and prediction market analysis
Market prices are being used to gauge which party holds the Iowa Senate seat.
CryptoSlate · +14 outlets
Best prediction market apps and sites ranked
A roundup of prediction market platforms, not a news development.
New York Post · +14 outlets