CFTC proposes rule defining event contracts as swaps while excluding casino-style gambling
The CFTC's proposed framework would give it federal authority over prediction market contracts as swaps while drawing a line between event contracts and traditi
ForkLog · +15 outlets
NFL, Ohio and other parties urge Supreme Court to take up Kalshi sports betting case
Multiple states and the NFL are pressing SCOTUS to review whether states can regulate prediction market sports contracts, a case that could settle the federal-v
Field Level Media · +14 outlets
Kalshi investigating long-shot bets that correctly predicted Trump's press secretary pick
Kalshi is scrutinizing suspicious trades placed before the announcement and has rolled out new insider-trading security measures, raising fresh questions about
CNN · +11 outlets
DraftKings draws focus as prediction markets reshape US sports betting
Analysts and investors are weighing how the surge in NFL event trading on Kalshi and Polymarket affects regulated sportsbook operators like DraftKings.
Yahoo Finance · +9 outlets
Blockchain.com files for CFTC licenses to launch US prediction markets and crypto derivatives
The crypto firm is seeking DCM and FCM approvals to offer event contracts in the US, adding a new entrant to the prediction market venue race.
Crowdfund Insider · +14 outlets
ARK Invest buys Kalshi shares as Cathie Wood backs $1T-$5T prediction market opportunity
The fund's stake signals institutional conviction in the long-term scale of event trading, though Kalshi's valuation is not disclosed.
Bonus.com · +1 outlets
Ohio presses Supreme Court to hear prediction markets case as states tighten election betting rules
Ohio's crackdown and a broader state push come as election betting volume surges ahead of the midterms.
Signal Akron · +6 outlets
Kalshi expands beyond prediction markets with US stock index futures
The move signals Kalshi's ambition to compete in traditional derivatives markets alongside its event contract business.
ATS.io · +14 outlets
Kalshi says it is introducing new security measures to combat insider trading
The exchange's new safeguards follow scrutiny of suspicious trades in political and event markets.
Reuters · +13 outlets
Polymarket appeals Dutch gambling authority ban in court to re-enter Netherlands
The appeal tests whether EU-based prediction market access can survive national gambling regulator bans.
topnews.in · +1 outlets
Prediction markets show no partisan bias in data since 1880, NBER paper finds
The academic study challenges claims that betting odds systematically favor one party, a frequent criticism of election markets.
PPC Land · +2 outlets
Kalshi controls 89% of US prediction markets as legal battles mount
The dominant market share figure underscores how concentrated the sector is even as litigation and regulation intensify.
CoinMarketCap · +5 outlets
IG chief questions what Kalshi and Polymarket volume records are worth
A rival brokerage executive raises doubts about the comparability and quality of headline volume figures reported by prediction market platforms.
Finance Magnates · +6 outlets
Prediction markets could reach $10B in revenue by 2030, Citizens says
The analyst estimate frames event trading as a substantial standalone business rather than a niche sports betting offshoot.
CoinMarketCap · +3 outlets
Google bans prediction market ads in Connecticut, the fifth US state excluded
The ad policy shift limits customer acquisition channels for prediction platforms in states that restrict the products.
PPC Land
Ties to Kalshi throw gambling addiction group into disarray
Disclosure that an addiction advocacy group received Kalshi funding raises conflict-of-interest questions amid the prediction market debate.
Barron's · +8 outlets
Former senator who sought to ban prediction markets hired by Kalshi as lobbyist
The hire reflects the industry's intensifying Washington lobbying push as federal rules take shape.
Futurism
Kalshi introduces NFL player market protection
The new feature aims to limit losses on player-specific contracts, addressing complaints about thin liquidity and sharp moves.
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