Multiple prediction venues and forecasters converge on Democratic control of the Senate, a consensus that will be tested Tuesday and could reshape how election

Lawmakers and regulators are pressing the prediction-market platforms on integrity risks just as midterm volume peaks.

Record midterm volume underscores how quickly prediction markets have become a mainstream venue for political risk.

Trading on banned state races illustrates the enforcement gap between federal derivatives oversight and state election-betting prohibitions.

Outlets prepare live trackers for results and the timing of when control of Congress will be known.

Traders now make Democrat James Talarico the clear favorite in a Texas Senate race that was not seen as competitive earlier in the cycle.

Election-litigation tactics are being mirrored by the opposing party as voting concludes.

A narrowing spread in the Texas gubernatorial market signals late movement in a state Republicans have long dominated.

Model-based forecasts have moved further toward Democrats than betting markets, widening the gap between the two methodologies.

Markets put Democrat Troy Jackson ahead of incumbent Susan Collins, a race central to Senate control math.

Both the Ohio governor and Senate markets favor Democrats, reflecting a broader swing-state shift.

Post-election deadlock in Israel repriced the leadership market sharply toward a rival to Netanyahu.

Slipping odds for Donalds suggest traders see a less certain Republican primary or general-election path in Florida.

Markets repriced the Michigan Senate race after a rival Democrat's withdrawal consolidated the field.

Commentary and reporting question the reliability and influence of betting odds that have displaced polls as a headline metric.

A prominent forecaster revised its outlook for Republican losses downward as late data shifted.

The open California governor's race is drawing heavy prediction-market interest as the field settles.

Investors are assessing how a Democratic sweep or split Congress could affect betting and prediction-market equities.