Archive snapshot
Mon, Nov 2, 3:46 AM ET

Markets18 stories ›

Utah files criminal charges against Kalshi and its founders as federal government asks court to halt the case
Utah's criminal action against the prediction market escalates the state-versus-CFTC fight over who can regulate event contracts, with the federal government no
Gambling Insider · +14 outlets
US midterms: prediction markets put Democratic Senate odds near 71-72% and House control at 95%
Contracts on the two biggest prediction venues have converged on a Democratic sweep scenario, turning the midterms into the industry's highest-profile test of a
WION · +5 outlets
Polymarket sets $3.9M refund plan after third-party script hack drained trader wallets
Hackers took about $2.7 million from Polymarket traders through a compromised DebugBear script, and the venue is reimbursing affected accounts.
TradingView · +4 outlets
Kalshi raises $1B at a $40B valuation as the CFTC-sanctioned venue scales
The reported raise would make Kalshi one of the most valuable private market operators and underscores investor appetite for regulated event contracts.
Traders Union · +1 outlets
Kalshi sues Missouri over state attempts to regulate its prediction market
Kalshi is asking courts to block state gambling enforcement, adding Missouri to a growing list of jurisdictional battles alongside New Jersey, Louisiana and Uta
KCUR · +14 outlets
Kalshi gets second Supreme Court extension in New Jersey case
The repeated extensions keep the New Jersey matter alive while the federal-state authority question over prediction markets remains unresolved.
Gaming America · +14 outlets

Polymarket18 stories ›

Hackers steal about $2.7M from 700+ Polymarket accounts via hijacked DebugBear script
Polymarket paused trading and said it would refund affected users after a compromised third-party analytics script drained roughly $2.7M from hundreds of wallet
The Hacker News · +5 outlets
Polymarket investigating suspicious trades on Israeli election after well-timed bets
Polymarket is reviewing dozens of newly created wallets that placed suspiciously timed bets on Israel's election, the latest integrity question for the platform
WSJ · +14 outlets
Warren and Curtis press Kalshi and Polymarket on election insider-trading safeguards
US senators asked the two prediction market operators to disclose how they police insider trading ahead of the midterms.
CoinMarketCap · +9 outlets
Kalshi and Polymarket users traded $1.1M on Maryland races despite state ban
Traders kept using the platforms on Maryland elections even after state regulators moved to bar such contracts.
RG.org · +2 outlets
Polymarket whale bets $846,000 that Republicans lose the House
A single large holder took a six-figure position against Republican control of the House days before the midterms.
Gaming America · +1 outlets
Prediction markets put Democratic Senate odds around 72% with two days to midterms
Kalshi and Polymarket contracts show Democrats favored to take both chambers as traders price the final stretch of the midterm campaign.
Benzinga · +14 outlets

Kalshi18 stories ›

Kalshi raises $1B at $40B valuation in Series G co-led by Sequoia and Wellington
The round values Kalshi at roughly $40 billion and comes as the company faces mounting state regulatory challenges over its event contracts.
Crowdfund Insider · +15 outlets
Utah files 14 criminal charges against Kalshi and its two co-founders
The charges mark the sharpest escalation yet in the state versus federal fight over who can regulate prediction market event contracts.
Startup Fortune · +13 outlets
Philadelphia 76ers become first NBA team to sign a prediction market partnership with Kalshi
The multi-year deal is the first between an NBA franchise and a prediction market and drew immediate criticism over gambling's growing role in sports.
PhillyVoice · +14 outlets
Kalshi asks federal judge to block Louisiana from enforcing gambling laws on its prediction market
Kalshi is seeking injunctions in multiple states as part of its broader argument that the CFTC, not state gaming regulators, has jurisdiction over event contrac
WGNO · +7 outlets
Warren and Curtis press Kalshi and Polymarket to disclose election insider-trading safeguards
The senators' inquiry adds congressional pressure on prediction markets ahead of the midterms over trading on nonpublic political information.
CoinMarketCap · +10 outlets
Kalshi suspends 3 congressional candidates for betting on their own races
Kalshi's ban on candidates trading their own races came as a barred candidate, Mark Moran, publicly questioned who profits from political decision markets.
Gambling Insider · +13 outlets

Politics17 stories ›

Kalshi and Polymarket users traded about $1.1M on Maryland races despite a state betting ban
The volume shows prediction market users routing around state prohibitions on election wagering, raising the question of how such bans can be enforced.
Baltimore Sun · +4 outlets
Bloomberg: 2026 US election results and live House, Senate betting odds with market context
Major outlets are pairing live results and race maps with prediction market prices as the midterms approach.
Bloomberg · +6 outlets
Polymarket opens probe into suspicious last-minute bets on a Netanyahu election win
The inquiry follows a pattern of sharp late swings in political markets that has drawn scrutiny from regulators and researchers.
Haaretz · +13 outlets
WSJ: prediction markets have repeatedly mispriced elections, and the midterms test them again
The piece questions whether market prices add real information over polling after several high-profile misses.
WSJ · +2 outlets
Democrats gain momentum in prediction markets ahead of the 2026 midterms
Market pricing on a Democratic-controlled Congress is running ahead of some forecasters, a gap analysts attribute to differing methodologies and user bases.
The Source Magazine · +14 outlets
Markets predicting US elections are causing concern among experts due to misinformation.
Experts warn that confident-looking odds can be mistaken for forecasts, a concern amplified as more users trade US elections.
BNLData · +13 outlets

Platforms13 stories ›

Federal government asks court to halt Utah criminal case against Kalshi
The federal government's intervention escalates the jurisdictional conflict between Washington and states seeking to criminalize prediction market operations.
Gambling Insider · +6 outlets
CFTC Chair Selig vows to take state fight over prediction markets to the Supreme Court
The CFTC chair signals the agency is prepared to litigate state-level enforcement against prediction markets up to the highest court.
Crypto Briefing · +3 outlets
Prediction markets bring Robinhood $173 million as crypto revenue slumps
Prediction market revenue is offsetting weakness in Robinhood's crypto trading business, underscoring the segment's growing importance to the brokerage.
CryptoSlate · +6 outlets
NFL forced Saquon Barkley to sell Polymarket stake, treating prediction markets as sportsbooks
The league's stance treats prediction market exposure as a gambling conflict for players, a sign of the friction between sportsbooks and event contracts.
ReadWrite · +11 outlets
HOOD stock gains after price target hike driven by Rothera prediction market success
Analysts raised Robinhood's price target citing traction in its prediction market business, sending shares higher.
Stocktwits · +7 outlets
Robinhood stock down about 40% from its record high as analysts debate buying the dip
Two outlets examine the sharp pullback in Robinhood shares and whether the valuation now presents an entry point.
The Motley Fool · +9 outlets

Regulation18 stories ›

Utah files criminal charges against Kalshi and co-founders Mansour and Lopes Lara
Utah's prosecution of the prediction market and its founders is the first criminal action by a state against the industry, raising the stakes in the jurisdictio
Startup Fortune · +14 outlets
CFTC and federal government ask court to halt Utah's criminal case against Kalshi
Federal regulators argue the state case is preempted by federal jurisdiction over designated contract markets.
Gambling Insider · +11 outlets
Kalshi raises $1B at $40B valuation as sports trading fuels prediction market boom
The round roughly doubles Kalshi's valuation and underscores how much sports event trading, not elections, now drives its volume.
Legal Sports Report · +10 outlets
Kalshi seeks court order blocking Louisiana from enforcing gambling laws
Kalshi's federal suit in Louisiana is one of several parallel challenges to state gambling regulators' authority over event contracts.
Yahoo Finance · +14 outlets
CFTC Chair Selig vows to take state fight over prediction markets to the Supreme Court
Selig's pledge signals the agency will defend exclusive federal jurisdiction over event contracts all the way to the high court.
Crypto Briefing · +4 outlets
Kalshi sues Missouri over state regulatory attempts
Missouri becomes the latest state Kalshi takes to federal court to preempt gambling enforcement against its event contracts.
NewsBreak · +14 outlets