Archive snapshot · Politics
Fri, Oct 16, 4:46 AM ET
Taiwan court orders Coinbase and Kalshi websites blocked over suspected election betting
A Taiwanese court ordered domestic blocks on Coinbase and Kalshi sites after regulators flagged suspected election wagering, extending prediction market legal s
CoinGape · +14 outlets
Midterm election betting tops $220M on Kalshi and Polymarket ahead of November vote
Trading volume on the two prediction platforms has surged as the midterms approach, with concentrated interest in Senate races such as Texas.
Gambling.com · +7 outlets
Reuters/Ipsos poll finds most Americans oppose election betting
The survey results arrive as states and regulators weigh new restrictions on political prediction markets.
Bonus.com · +13 outlets
Google blocks prediction market ads in a fifth state as legal pressure builds
The ad restriction adds to a patchwork of state-level limits on how prediction platforms can market election and event contracts.
DeFi Rate
Election betting booms as states weigh whether they have power to curb it
Coverage examines how quickly political prediction markets have grown and the unresolved question of state authority over them.
chronicleonline.com · +6 outlets
Underdog sues Tennessee over sports prediction contracts
The suit tests whether prediction-style offerings fall under state sports betting law or a separate regulatory framework.
DeFi Rate · +14 outlets
Prediction markets challenge traditional polls as midterm election forecasts
Analysts compare market-implied odds with polling averages in the run-up to the midterm vote, with the two measures often diverging.
WDRB · +13 outlets
Inside the growing influence of election betting markets
The piece details how political prediction markets have moved from novelty to a widely cited signal during campaign season.
WUSA9 · +14 outlets
Polymarket ads pitch the platform as a real-time barometer of election odds
The campaign markets prediction prices as an alternative to conventional polling in mainstream media placements.
Ad Age · +4 outlets
Ontario municipal races draw large prediction market bets as rules remain unclear
Canadian regulators have not clearly addressed event contracts on municipal elections, leaving platforms and bettors in a gray area.
CBC · +2 outlets
Election betting reaches British Columbia's Okanagan via online prediction markets
An expert cautions that prediction market odds are not equivalent to polling data even as local interest grows.
Castanet · +1 outlets
Michigan Senate race: markets and polls track El-Sayed vs. Rogers three weeks out
The Michigan contest remains a focus of both polling and prediction market activity heading into the final stretch.
Action Network · +14 outlets
Georgia governor race: Bottoms takes lead in markets as Trump stages late GOP rally
Market-implied odds shifted toward the Democratic candidate amid a late-stage Republican campaign push in the state.
Action Network · +13 outlets
Florida Senate race: markets price Moody vs. Nixon on Kalshi and Polymarket
Florida's Senate and governor contests are among the most-traded state-level political markets this cycle.
Action Network · +6 outlets
Texas Senate race draws outsized betting interest: Talarico vs. Paxton
The Texas contest has attracted a disproportionate share of midterm wagering volume on the major platforms.
Action Network · +6 outlets
Ohio governor odds show Acton pulling away in midterm markets
Prediction market pricing has moved in the Republican candidate's favor in the Ohio governor's race.
Sports Betting Dime · +4 outlets
California Prop 40 wealth tax: polls show lead while markets remain skeptical
The gap between polling and market pricing on the ballot measure highlights divergence between the two forecasting methods.
DeFi Rate · +1 outlets
New York governor debate: Hochul, Blakeman polls and odds
Coverage weighs the incumbent's standing in the governor's race after the debate against market-implied odds.
Bergen Record

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