Markets18 stories ›
SEC approves Cboe's KPI corporate-performance options, with Robinhood set for retail launch
The approval lets retail investors trade yes/no contracts on whether companies hit performance targets, extending prediction-market style products into listed e
TradingView · +10 outlets
CFTC proposes treating sports and political event contracts as swaps, drawing state pushback
The proposal would place event contracts under federal swaps rules while excluding gambling, deepening the jurisdictional fight between the CFTC and state regul
iGamingToday.com · +13 outlets
Kalshi CEO warns state-led oversight would push US prediction markets offshore
Tarek Mansour argued that aggressive state regulation risks driving the industry abroad, as several states move to restrict or ban event contracts.
Crypto Briefing · +12 outlets
New York sues Kalshi, alleging its prediction market is illegal gambling
The suit is one of the most aggressive state actions against event contracts and could set precedent for how states police federally regulated venues.
The Guardian · +13 outlets
Kalshi challenges ruling that its sports contracts are not swaps in Sixth Circuit appeal
The appellate fight, with Ohio and others urging Supreme Court review, will determine whether federal swaps law preempts state gambling oversight of event contr
VitalLaw.com · +14 outlets
Kalshi seeks $40B valuation, widening lead over Polymarket
The reported fundraising target underscores how much capital is flowing into regulated event-contract venues relative to private rivals.
CoinMarketCap · +10 outlets
Polymarket12 stories ›
Kalshi and Polymarket spend millions as state and federal regulators battle over prediction markets
Lobbying and legal spending escalate amid state crackdowns and federal efforts to assert authority over event contracts.
Bonus.com · +14 outlets
Kalshi and Polymarket spend millions amid state-federal prediction market fight
The two biggest platforms are deploying significant lobbying and legal resources as the regulatory battle escalates.
Bonus.com · +14 outlets
Kalshi seeks $40B valuation, widening lead over Polymarket
Kalshi is raising at a reported $40 billion valuation as prediction market volumes hit record levels and the two dominant venues spend millions on lobbying.
CoinMarketCap · +12 outlets
Polymarket opens private-market bets as SEC pauses prediction market ETFs
Polymarket expands into private-market contracts while a separate regulator stalls proposals for exchange-traded prediction market funds.
CoinMarketCap · +7 outlets
DOJ arrests soldier who made $400,000 betting on Maduro's removal
The prosecution is one of the first criminal cases tied to trading on a geopolitical prediction market outcome.
BBC · +6 outlets
Polymarket weighs IPO and token launch amid reports of valuation above $20B
Polymarket is exploring a native token and public listing while speculation at TOKEN2049 fueled airdrop chatter.
BigGo Finance · +5 outlets
Kalshi18 stories ›
Kalshi seeks full Sixth Circuit review of sports contract ruling
Kalshi is asking the full appeals court to rehear the decision on its sports event contracts as the case heads toward possible Supreme Court review.
Law360 · +14 outlets
States, NFL, and former officials file amicus briefs urging Supreme Court to take Kalshi case
A growing coalition including state regulators, the NFL, and former SEC chairs wants the Supreme Court to settle whether federal commodities law preempts state
SCCG Management · +14 outlets
Kalshi launches prediction apps with four Native American tribes as legal fight widens
Kalshi is partnering with tribal operators to bolster its jurisdictional argument that event contracts fall under federal, not state, authority.
Bonus.com · +14 outlets
Kalshi and Polymarket spend millions as state and federal regulators battle over prediction markets
Lobbying and legal spending escalate amid state crackdowns and federal efforts to assert authority over event contracts.
Bonus.com · +14 outlets
Kalshi and Polymarket spend millions amid state-federal prediction market fight
The two biggest platforms are deploying significant lobbying and legal resources as the regulatory battle escalates.
Bonus.com · +14 outlets
Kalshi launches prediction apps with Native American tribes, dividing Indian country
A compact with Oklahoma's Alturas Indian Rancheria has drawn opposition from more than 140 tribes worried about gaming sovereignty.
Yahoo Finance · +13 outlets
Politics18 stories ›
Reuters/Ipsos poll finds bipartisan majority of Americans oppose election betting
Roughly 60% of Americans say they oppose betting on elections, a finding that lands as prediction market volumes surge ahead of the midterms.
Bonus.com · +12 outlets
Bettors have wagered over $220M on midterms via Kalshi and Polymarket, with heavy action on Texas Senate
Election betting volume is hitting record levels as the two dominant platforms compete for midterm market share.
New York Post · +5 outlets
Ohio Sen. DeMora proposes ban on election gambling
The state-level bill tests whether states can legally restrict prediction markets, a question also raised in Kansas.
State Affairs Pro · +5 outlets
Kansas Senate race draws about $4M in prediction market activity as Democrats spend $5M
Traders still favor Republican incumbent Marshall despite new Democratic spending in the race.
KSN.com · +2 outlets
Talarico extends lead over Paxton in Texas Senate prediction markets
Texas is the single most traded midterm Senate race, and market odds diverge from polling in the contest.
Oddschecker · +3 outlets
Polymarket runs ads pitching itself as a real-time barometer of election odds
The campaign marks a push to reposition prediction markets as a data source ahead of the midterms.
Ad Age
Platforms18 stories ›
SEC approves Cboe KPI-linked binary options, with Robinhood set for retail launch
The SEC cleared Cboe's exchange-listed binary options tied to corporate performance metrics like Coinbase trading volume, Nvidia and Tesla data, with the produc
Finance Magnates · +13 outlets
CFTC proposes rule defining sports event contracts as swaps, not sportsbook wagers
The CFTC's interim rule separates sportsbook wagers from the federal swaps definition while treating sports-related event contracts as swaps, shaping how predic
VitalLaw.com · +14 outlets
Polymarket and Kalshi volumes hit $150B as regulators scrutinize prediction market ETFs
Combined event-contract volume reached $150 billion while experts float a $1 trillion market by 2030 and the prospect of a Supreme Court fight.
CoinMarketCap · +2 outlets
Kalshi CEO warns state oversight could push prediction markets offshore
Kalshi's CEO argues that state-by-state sports betting rules risk driving event-contract venues out of the US, as the federal-versus-state oversight fight conti
Crypto Briefing · +14 outlets
Blockchain.com files for CFTC licenses to offer crypto derivatives and prediction markets in US
Blockchain.com joins a growing list of crypto firms seeking CFTC-regulated status to launch prediction markets for US customers.
KuCoin · +14 outlets
Prediction markets retreat from Michigan, Connecticut and Missouri amid legal pressure
Operators are pulling back in multiple states, with Coinbase pausing Michigan markets under an agreement with the state's gaming control board.
Casino.com · +4 outlets
Regulation18 stories ›
New York sues Kalshi, alleging the prediction market is illegal gambling
A state-level lawsuit against a federally regulated exchange escalates the jurisdictional fight over whether event contracts are gambling or financial derivativ
The Guardian · +13 outlets
CFTC proposes classifying sports event contracts as swaps while excluding sportsbook wagers
The interim rule and proposal would put event contracts under federal swaps rules while leaving traditional sportsbook bets untouched, drawing pushback from sta
Yogonet · +14 outlets
Kalshi CEO says state-level oversight would push prediction markets offshore
Kalshi's chief argues a patchwork of state gambling enforcement would drive US prediction market venues abroad rather than shut them down.
CoinDesk · +14 outlets
Kalshi seeks full Sixth Circuit en banc review of sports contract ruling
Kalshi is asking the full appeals court to rehear the case, citing the CFTC's new proposed swaps rule in its appeal.
Law360 · +12 outlets
Ohio asks Supreme Court to take up prediction markets case over sports contracts
Ohio's petition follows a similar NFL-backed filing, raising the odds the Supreme Court will settle who regulates sports event contracts.
Play USA · +14 outlets
Blockchain.com files for CFTC licenses to offer prediction markets and crypto derivatives in the US
Another large crypto firm seeks federal approval to enter the US event-contract market as the CFTC defines the rules.
PR Newswire · +14 outlets