The poll found roughly 60% opposition across party lines, arriving as prediction market election volumes surge ahead of the midterms.

Election betting activity keeps climbing while state regulators contest the legality of event contracts.

Kalshi's data deal puts prediction market odds in front of a mainstream TV audience during the midterm cycle.

Kalshi is seeking en banc review after a panel sided with state officials in its fight over election-related event contracts.

Traders still favor Republican incumbent Marshall despite the Democratic spending push in the state.

Prediction markets have made the Texas Senate primary one of the most traded 2026 races.

Divergence between market pricing and polling is concentrated in a handful of key Senate contests.

The forecast tracks the small number of races that determine Senate control in 2026.

Prediction markets show Susan Collins improving while still trailing the expected Democratic challenger.

House and Congress-wide control markets are among the most traded 2026 election contracts.

Traders and pollsters are split on the open Ohio governor's race.

Senate control markets are pricing a narrow path to a chamber flip in 2026.

Markets have moved further toward the Democratic incumbent in Ohio's Senate race.

The activity shows offshore prediction markets drawing volume on a race where such betting is not permitted locally.

Kalshi is rolling out disclosure features before the midterms, when its election contracts face their biggest volume test.

Traders cut the implied chances of a California billionaire tax measure as the state's races and ballot items draw market attention.

The forecast adds another quantitative model to a crowded field of 2026 midterm projections.

Polymarket's 2026 markets are now surfaced on the election forecasting site 270toWin.