Archive snapshot · Polymarket
Tue, Oct 13, 4:45 AM ET
Reuters/Ipsos poll finds most Americans oppose betting on elections and government events
The survey lands as prediction markets face mounting scrutiny over election and government-event contracts, a core part of their business.
Reuters · +11 outlets
Kalshi and Polymarket set $8.56B two-day volume record as combined volume hits $150B
Record trading volumes underscore how quickly prediction markets have scaled, even as regulators and rivals question the quality and sustainability of that acti
www.tokenpost.com · +5 outlets
CFTC proposes classifying event contracts as swaps while excluding casino-style gambling
The proposal would create a federal framework for prediction market contracts and draw a line against categories regulators view as gambling.
ForkLog · +14 outlets
DKNG and FLUT shares fall on reported $20B valuation fundraising talks at Kalshi and Polymarket
The reported raises at lofty valuations signal investors expect prediction markets to keep taking share from traditional sportsbooks.
Stocktwits
FCA holds talks as Polymarket and Kalshi weigh entry into the UK market
UK regulators engaging with the two platforms indicates prediction markets may expand into a major regulated betting jurisdiction.
The Paypers · +5 outlets
Norway targets illegal sites including Kalshi and Polymarket
Norwegian authorities moving against the platforms adds to a growing list of foreign jurisdictions treating prediction market access as illegal gambling.
AffPapa · +4 outlets
Korea refers Polymarket users to prosecutors on illegal gambling charges
South Korean enforcement against users, not just platforms, shows criminal risk for prediction market participants in restrictive jurisdictions.
Chosunbiz · +13 outlets
Polymarket Protocol V2 launch set for Nov. 2 mainnet switchover
A protocol overhaul is a significant infrastructure step for the platform as it scales trading volume and market coverage.
Bonus.com · +4 outlets
Polymarket expands Bitcoin price prediction markets to hourly and daily bets
Shorter-duration crypto contracts broaden Polymarket beyond event markets and into higher-frequency trading territory.
bloomingbit · +13 outlets
Prediction markets' NFL boom tests sports betting rules
The NFL's popularity on prediction platforms is forcing a legal reckoning over whether such contracts are sports wagering.
Bloomberg.com · +2 outlets
Polymarket US sees notional volume surge to $2.72B last week
The weekly figure reflects the platform's US-facing business scaling rapidly ahead of regulatory decisions on event contracts.
Cryptonews.net
Polymarket odds show 84% chance of Ethereum reaching $2,600 in October, up 13 points in a day
The sharp move in ETH contract odds tracks a notable shift in trader expectations over the asset's near-term price path.
bloomingbit · +2 outlets
Bitcoin contract shows 63% chance of a drop to $80,000 in October
Polymarket pricing reflects substantial trader positioning for downside in bitcoin over the month.
Pluang · +1 outlets
Fed rate odds signal an October hold and December hike risk for bitcoin
Polymarket contracts on Fed policy are being read as a signal on macro risk for crypto markets.
KuCoin · +14 outlets
Zelenskyy welcomes Trump energy truce as crypto punters doubt a peace deal by 2027
Polymarket odds on a Russia-Ukraine peace deal remain skeptical despite diplomatic movement on energy infrastructure.
TradingView · +2 outlets
IG chief questions what Kalshi and Polymarket volume records are worth
A rival executive's skepticism highlights the debate over whether prediction market volume figures reflect durable, monetizable activity.
Finance Magnates · +5 outlets
Longshots losing 98% of the time dominate Kalshi and Polymarket trading
Research on contract outcomes undercuts the idea that prediction market prices consistently function as accurate forecasts.
CDC Gaming · +1 outlets
Polymarket and Kalshi turned geopolitics into a speculation tool, report says
Coverage of war-adjacent contracts raises questions about the ethics and public perception of trading on geopolitical events.
UA.NEWS

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