CFTC moves to fold event contracts into existing swap rules, reshaping oversight of Polymarket and Kalshi
Classifying prediction market event contracts as swaps would extend the CFTC's existing derivatives framework over platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, a major
BlockchainReporter · +1 outlets
NFL urges US Supreme Court to review prediction market case involving Kalshi and Polymarket
The league wants the high court to settle whether regulated sports event contracts are legal, a question that could determine the future of sports prediction ma
Gambling Insider · +13 outlets
Polymarket tightens trading and security rules amid manipulation and insider trading concerns
The platform's rule changes follow scrutiny of trades that appeared to rely on non-public information and an audit showing most retail favorites strategies lost
CoinMarketCap · +6 outlets
Blockchain.com seeks CFTC approval to launch US prediction markets and crypto derivatives
The crypto exchange's reported application would put it in direct competition with regulated prediction market venues such as Kalshi and Polymarket.
Crowdfund Insider · +14 outlets
DOJ arrests special forces soldier who won $400,000 betting on Maduro's capture; he pleads not guilty
The case is being watched as a test of whether insider knowledge of military operations can be policed on prediction markets.
CNBC · +13 outlets
Polymarket and Kalshi volumes hit $150B as regulators scrutinize prediction market ETFs
Record trading volumes coincide with SEC hesitation over proposed ETFs tied to prediction market outcomes.
CoinMarketCap · +2 outlets
Polymarket odds give Democrats a 62% chance of a midterm sweep, putting the CLARITY Act at risk
Market pricing on the midterms is being read as a signal for the fate of crypto market structure legislation.
Bitcoin News · +6 outlets
Norway moves to block Kalshi, Polymarket and 60 other unlicensed betting sites
The action is part of a wider international pushback against prediction market platforms operating without local licenses.
iGamingToday.com · +3 outlets
Midterm bets on endorsements, rallies and dropouts draw insider trading concerns
Wagering on political process events rather than outcomes is raising questions about traders with access to campaign information.
Houston Style Magazine · +5 outlets
Polymarket opens private-market bets while SEC pauses prediction market ETFs
The new private-market contracts expand Polymarket's offering even as regulators stall ETF products tied to event contracts.
CoinMarketCap · +7 outlets
US election betting markets draw more than $20 million amid insider risks
Liquidity in political markets is growing fast just as watchdogs flag the potential for informed trading.
mezha.net · +2 outlets
Polymarket's $30M-plus Nobel Peace Prize market missed the winner as Navi Pillay won
Traders concentrated on other candidates, making the Peace Prize one of the platform's costliest recent misses.
FinanceFeeds · +2 outlets
Google blocks prediction market extensions from Chrome as Polymarket and Kalshi face regulatory heat
The extension removals show distribution channels tightening for prediction market products in the US.
Yellow.com · +4 outlets
Seminole Tribe sues DraftKings as gambling industry legal battles widen
The suit adds to a broadening set of court fights over prediction markets, sports betting and tribal gaming rights.
Gambling Insider · +14 outlets
Polymarket prices Bitcoin at 1-2% odds of reaching $200,000 in 2026, a record low
Market-implied probabilities for a six-figure Bitcoin target have collapsed as crypto prices lag.
TOKENPOST · +7 outlets
Bets on Navalny widow surge on Polymarket ahead of Nobel Peace Prize
Odds moved sharply on speculation about the Norwegian committee's choice before the announcement.
Bloomberg.com · +8 outlets
Opinion: The midterms are now a betting market, and insiders have the edge
Commentary argues that prediction markets on elections structurally favor participants with inside political information.
USA Today
Galaxy data: 69.2% of Polymarket retail accounts lose money, with $338.9M in aggregate losses
The findings add data to the debate over retail outcomes on prediction market platforms.
ZyCrypto · +1 outlets