Brazilian assets rallied as the right's stronger than expected first round result forced a runoff and renewed attention on both the betting market's read and Lu

The proposal targets conflicts of interest as prediction markets expand into US political contests.

The piece frames the regulatory and cultural debate over the spread of event contracts beyond sportsbooks.

Aggregated prediction market pricing for House and Senate control shows gaps versus conventional polling less than a month before the midterms.

The endorsement lands in a tight race where agricultural trade policy is a live issue.

The model launch adds another quantitative read on House, Senate and governor races heading into November.

The refunds highlight the collision of campaign finance rules and prediction market activity in the California governor race.

Another 2026 Senate model arrives as forecasters compete to project control of the chamber.

Florida's Senate and governor contests are drawing active prediction market and sportsbook-style pricing.

Traders are pricing outcomes across California's full slate of 2026 ballot measures.

The market reflects speculative interest in a third-party move by Musk.

State-level market pricing offers an early read on Missouri contests.

Alaska's ranked choice elections remain a focus for traders watching state races.

Michigan remains a key swing state for traders watching all three levels of the 2026 ballot.