Archive snapshot
Mon, Oct 5, 4:46 AM ET

Markets18 stories ›

CFTC sends prediction market rule proposals to White House for review, putting federal-state fault line in focus
The CFTC's rulemaking push comes as courts and states fight over whether prediction markets are federally regulated derivatives or illegal sports wagering.
well-played.com.au · +14 outlets
Kalshi seeks $1B funding round at $40B valuation
The raise would make the private prediction market one of the most valuable US private companies, underscoring investor appetite despite a thicket of legal figh
Casino.com · +10 outlets
New Jersey asks Supreme Court to review ruling on Kalshi sports contracts
States are pressing the high court to settle whether federal commodities law preempts local gambling rules, and no prediction market case appears on the court's
tokenpost.com · +13 outlets
WSJ: Polymarket's 'growth at all costs' strategy opened the door to fraud
The report examines how rapid expansion at the private prediction market created compliance vulnerabilities.
Yahoo! Finance Canada · +1 outlets
Google security engineer charged with using inside information to make $1M on Polymarket
The case is among the first criminal insider trading charges tied to prediction market contracts.
cnbc.com · +13 outlets
Kalshi introduces new security measures to combat insider trading
Kalshi also suspended three congressional candidates who bet on their own races, as federal lawmakers scrutinize prediction market integrity.
Reuters · +13 outlets

Polymarket18 stories ›

WSJ investigation: Polymarket's growth-at-all-costs strategy opened the door to fraud
The reporting details how the platform's aggressive expansion created conditions for manipulation and abuse, adding to scrutiny of prediction-market integrity.
WSJ · +4 outlets
Kalshi seeks $1B funding round at $40B valuation
The reported raise would value the regulated prediction-market exchange far above its earlier rounds as competition with Polymarket intensifies.
Casino.com · +10 outlets
Polymarket seeks $400M raise at $15B valuation
The platform is reportedly raising fresh capital at a valuation that reflects surging volume in event contracts ahead of the US midterms.
CoinMarketCap · +12 outlets
DOJ tells court Polymarket event contracts are 'swaps' in soldier's insider-trading case
Prosecutors' characterization of event contracts as swaps underpins charges against a soldier accused of making $400,000 betting on Maduro's removal, a classifi
insidebitcoins.com · +1 outlets
UK regulators and politicians urged to act over Polymarket bets on HSBC and Lloyds failures
Outlets report that wagers on major British banks collapsing have drawn warnings from UK authorities, raising questions about whether event contracts can pressu
beinsure.com · +9 outlets
Google security engineer charged with making $1M on Polymarket using inside information
The case is among the highest-profile insider-trading charges brought over prediction-market trading to date.
cnbc.com · +5 outlets

Kalshi18 stories ›

Kalshi seeks funding at $40B valuation, plans to expand beyond prediction markets into broader trading platform
The round would roughly quadruple Kalshi's prior valuation and signals ambitions to build a general trading venue ahead of a possible IPO.
디지털투데이 · +10 outlets
New York sues Kalshi, alleging its prediction market is illegal gambling
New York is the latest state to take Kalshi to court over sports and event contracts it argues fall under state gambling law.
The New York Times · +13 outlets
Federal judge blocks Illinois from enforcing sports betting rules against Kalshi and Coinbase
The temporary ruling keeps Kalshi's sports contracts live in Illinois while the broader question of whether they are gambling plays out.
Hokanews · +14 outlets
Arizona AG charges Kalshi with running illegal gambling
Arizona joins a widening group of states asserting that Kalshi's event contracts violate their gambling statutes.
CoinMarketCap · +13 outlets
Ohio governor and officials vow to enforce state law against Kalshi, calling sports contracts illegal gambling
Ohio is the latest state to publicly reject Kalshi's argument that federally regulated event contracts preempt state gambling rules.
bloomingbit · +3 outlets
New Jersey takes prediction market legal fight to the Supreme Court
New Jersey is asking the high court to resolve whether federal commodities law preempts state gambling regulation of prediction markets.
Law Commentary · +13 outlets

Politics9 stories ›

2026 midterm forecasts and odds converge as polls show tight race for House and Senate
Multiple forecasters and odds trackers are publishing House and Senate projections roughly a month before the November 2026 elections.
defirate.com · +12 outlets
Prediction markets show Flávio Bolsonaro surging past Lula as Brazil votes, Wall Street braces
Brazilian election odds on Polymarket have shifted toward Flávio Bolsonaro, with investors weighing sharply different outcomes for Brazilian assets.
cnbc.com · +3 outlets
CBS News names Kalshi prediction market sponsor of its 2026 midterm election coverage
The sponsorship marks a mainstream broadcast tie-up for a regulated prediction market during a major election cycle.
SCCG Management · +14 outlets
Kalshi executive argues election betting promotes democracy amid industry pushback
The comments come as Las Vegas Strip executives split over prediction markets, with Wynn's CEO taking a more open view than peers.
The Detroit News · +1 outlets
AI emerges as a 2026 midterm campaign issue, prediction market prices 63% YES
A prediction market contract now puts 63% odds that AI becomes a notable midterm election issue.
tech-insider.org · +2 outlets
Euro falls to 17-month low on uncertainty around Spain's election
Currency markets sold the euro as investors weighed the political outcome of Spain's election.
Crypto Briefing · +10 outlets

Platforms12 stories ›

CFTC sends prediction market rule proposals to White House for review, deepening federal-state clash
The CFTC's proposed rule changes would formalize federal oversight of event contracts as states and tribes press their own gambling claims, setting up a jurisdi
well-played.com.au · +10 outlets
Supreme Court has yet to take up prediction market cases as industry dispute tops $71B
Litigation over state gambling laws and event contracts continues to build toward potential Supreme Court review, with the market's scale now measured in tens o
sigma.world · +14 outlets
Federal judge shields Kalshi and Coinbase from Illinois gambling laws
The ruling adds to a split of court decisions on whether state gambling regulators can force federally regulated event-contract exchanges to halt sports markets
cryptotimes.io · +5 outlets
Kalshi responds to Missouri attorney general order on sports betting
The exchange is contesting a state cease-and-desist over sports event contracts, part of a widening set of state actions against prediction market operators.
Spectrum News · +14 outlets
Raven raises at $90M valuation from CMCC Global and Coinbase Ventures for prediction markets
The funding round signals continued venture interest in prediction market infrastructure even as the sector faces regulatory uncertainty in the US.
Fortune · +5 outlets
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev says crypto will drive a surge in prediction market trading volume
Tenev's comments tie the brokerage's event-contract push to its broader crypto business, where volumes and token prices drive engagement.
The Motley Fool · +14 outlets

Regulation12 stories ›

CFTC sends prediction market event contract rule proposals to White House for review
The rule package moves to OIRA review as federal and state regulators fight over whether event contracts are federally regulated derivatives or state-gambling p
well-played.com.au · +14 outlets
New Jersey asks Supreme Court to review ruling allowing Kalshi sports contracts
New Jersey is pressing the high court to weigh in on the federal-state split over sports event contracts, which state regulators say violate their gambling laws
tokenpost.com · +13 outlets
Nevada attorney urges Ninth Circuit to reject Kalshi's bid to delay rehearing over CFTC rulemaking
Nevada argues Kalshi should not be able to pause the Ninth Circuit case while the CFTC rewrites its event contract rules, a move that could reshape state enforc
CDC Gaming · +3 outlets
DOJ tells court Polymarket event contracts are swaps in soldier's insider-trading case
The government's classification of event contracts as swaps in a criminal case could carry weight for how derivatives regulators treat prediction market product
insidebitcoins.com · +1 outlets
Federal judge shields Kalshi and Coinbase from Illinois gambling law enforcement
The ruling blocks Illinois regulators from enforcing state gambling statutes against the federally regulated venues while the legal dispute continues.
cryptotimes.io · +10 outlets
Kalshi responds to Missouri attorney general order on sports betting
Kalshi is pushing back on a state cease-and-desist style order as more attorneys general test whether federal derivatives law preempts state gambling rules.
Spectrum News · +14 outlets