PRDCT Polymarket

Polymarket and Kalshi contracts put Democrats well ahead in House and Senate races, making the midterms the biggest test yet of whether prediction markets beat polls.

The case is one of several insider trading prosecutions tied to prediction market wagers on events with nonpublic information.

Prosecutors say the service member used nonpublic information about the Venezuela operation to profit on prediction markets.

The payout hinged on Democratic control outcomes, while a separate trader lost $624.8K on Republican midterm bets.

The Ballon d'Or organizer said it would file a complaint over bets that predicted the exact top five finishers.

The move came as senators pressed Kalshi and Polymarket for insider trading data that neither published by Election Day.

The incident was referred to UK police, adding to scrutiny of the platform's security and custody arrangements.

Traders priced a sharply higher chance of impeachment proceedings once Democrats took control of Congress.

Lawmakers questioned whether X gave the prediction market preferential treatment on political advertising.

The senators sought answers on how the platforms police election betting and protect against manipulation.

The internal policy reflects corporate concern that employees could trade on nonpublic information at venues like Polymarket and Kalshi.

Despite record headline volumes, the 2026 cycle showed cooler engagement than the previous presidential cycle.

Polymarket called the Senate map accurately except for South Carolina, per one tally, as outlets compared forecasts with outcomes.

The advisory role is part of Polymarket's push to build political legitimacy in Washington as it seeks US regulatory footing.

The analyst's comments added to debate over how prediction market prices behaved into the midterm close.

The venue shift tees up a dispute over whether claims belong in arbitration rather than open court.

The comment referenced a large wager tied to Texas Senate outcome markets during the midterm cycle.

The Decrypt report (also carried by Yahoo Finance) framed the payout as contingent on Alaska not flipping.

The position was one of the largest reported bets against the Democratic sweep consensus.

The Independent cited prediction market positioning in framing the early 2028 Democratic field.

The platform's marketing strategy has drawn concern about how endorsements could affect public figures' reputations.

The new contract extends Polymarket's event coverage into live political appearances.

The pricing reflected residual uncertainty in individual House district contracts even as a Democratic sweep was heavily favored.

The college football award market shifted sharply, with Malachi Toney's odds falling on the same venue.

The college football championship contract kept Georgia at the top of the board.

The TipRanks items tracked Polymarket contracts on upcoming earnings results for several companies including UBER and MCD.

The roundup covered open contracts spanning European politics, the 2028 US race and NFL futures.

The update covered California-specific races priced on both venues as results came in.

The preview referenced Polymarket prop contracts tied to NBA players.

A series of On3 posts laid out early spreads for Oregon at Ohio State, Miami at Notre Dame, Michigan State at Michigan and other games.

The primer explains contract mechanics as prediction markets draw wider mainstream attention.

The piece examined how market pricing compared with the eventual election outcome.

The guide covers trading mechanics for college basketball markets during SEC play.

The On3 column highlighted recommended college football positions on the venue.