Prediction markets under fire: critics say they missed the size of the Democratic wave
Critics argued the platforms' probabilities understated Democratic margins even as they called the overall outcome.
Read at Better Markets →Full coverage · 15 outlets
- Better Markets · lead
- DeFi RateKalshi Saw a Democratic Sweep but Underestimated the Wave
- The GuardianAre prediction markets accurate on elections? The US midterms are a big test
- The Standard (HK)Prediction markets get Democratic win right, with a few surprises
- High Country NewsI used to ignore prediction markets. Then I learned people were betting on wildfires
- TruthoutDems Warn Prediction Markets Allowing Bets on Wildfires Threaten Public Safety
- ProPublicaI Deliberately Bet Like a Problem Gambler. DraftKings Made Me a VIP.
- Pew Research CenterWhat we know about the typical Polymarket user
- NPROfficials probe whether White House teleprompter operator profited off Trump's words
- Alaska BeaconWill betting on wildfires lead to arson?
- CNNPeople are making wildfire bets on prediction markets. Experts say it could lead to disaster
- CNBCHow Leopold Aschenbrenner built a $45 billion AI hedge fund - and lost most of it in days
- WSJHow a Student’s Surefire Bet on Polymarket Went to Zero-Thanks to Fine Print
- The New York TimesThe Average Guys Outsmarting Wall Street on Prediction Markets
- WSLSPrediction Markets and accuracy in predicting elections. Can you bet on it?