Prediction markets post strong election-night record as Democrats sweep Congress
Kalshi, Polymarket and other venues largely called a Democratic sweep of Congress before TV networks, giving the industry its biggest credibility test yet.
Read at Semafor →Full coverage · 15 outlets
- Semafor · lead
- ReutersPrediction markets get Democratic win right, with a few surprises
- CNBCPrediction markets cement their status after forecasting Democratic sweep of Congress
- Bloomberg.comThe Midterm Predictions Were Good
- The HillDemocrats won big on Election Day. Prediction markets gave an early glimpse
- Yahoo FinancePrediction markets take a victory lap after calling the election before TV networks
- Yahoo! Finance CanadaPrediction markets get Democratic win right, with a few surprises
- The Mighty 790 KFGOPrediction markets get Democratic win right, with a few surprises
- Covers.com2026 Midterm Results: Prediction Market Accuracy and Key Upsets
- WSJThe Prediction-Market Bettors Who Turned Election Night Into a Real-Time Casino
- New York MagazineKalshi Also Won the Midterms
- The Event HorizonPrediction Markets And Midterms: A Postmortem
- qz.com9 prediction-market bets and stories from the 2026 midterm elections
- Seeking AlphaPrediction markets score big as Democrats sweep Congress (SPY:NYSEARCA)
- iGaming BusinessPrediction market traders expect Dems to record Blue sweep in US House-Senate