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what the crowd is pricing

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Top story Arkansas AG sues Kalshi and VGW, calling the prediction market a 'pocket-sized bookie'

The suit alleges illegal gambling and consumer violations, adding Arkansas to a growing list of states challenging Kalshi's sports event contracts.

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Prediction markets take a victory lap after calling the Democratic midterm sweep early

Kalshi and Polymarket prices flagged Democratic wins before TV networks called races, a credibility boost as regulators scrutinize the sector.

full coverage →prediction-marketselectionskalshi
Kalshi court losses pile up as judges refuse to block state gambling laws

A string of rulings has let states enforce gambling statutes against Kalshi's event contracts while its CFTC fight continues.

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Hollywood studios quietly ban staff from betting on prediction markets

Studios and producers are barring insiders from trading on movie news and release dates over insider-trading concerns.

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Kalshi has opened dozens of election-related probes, WSJ reports

The internal investigations focus on possible manipulation and insider activity around election markets.

full coverage →kalshielectionscompliance
Apple explicitly bans employees from using confidential information in prediction markets

The updated insider trading policy adds prediction markets to the list of venues where staff are barred from trading on nonpublic information.

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Coinbase rolls out prediction markets across the US via Kalshi

The exchange is embedding Kalshi-powered event contracts into its US app, widening distribution of regulated prediction markets.

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Judge says Kalshi perpetual futures can continue trading amid CFTC fight

Kalshi's single-stock and crypto perps keep trading while courts weigh the CFTC's challenge to the products.

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Tribal gaming industry warns prediction markets threaten sovereignty

Tribes are split over Kalshi partnerships as casino operators worry about gaming revenue and compacts.

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Robinhood's prediction markets business now outearns its crypto desk

The disclosure underscores how quickly event contracts have become a revenue driver for retail brokerages.

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Robinhood agrees to halt new Ohio sports event contracts

The agreement with Ohio regulators is the latest state-level restriction on sports event contracts.

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Binance and Polymarket suspend trading after hacks; Polygon eyes hard fork to recover 70.49M POL

Polymarket and Binance paused trading after exploits, while Polygon weighs a fork to recover the stolen tokens.

full coverage →polymarketsecuritypolygon
Bernstein says prediction markets are entering an institutional era

Analysts and market makers are positioning for institutional liquidity and volumes in event contracts.

full coverage →institutionalprediction-marketsresearch
Kalshi opens single-stock perpetual futures trading

The new offering extends Kalshi beyond event contracts into equity-linked perpetual derivatives.

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Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour discusses midterms, regulation and insider trading concerns

Mansour addressed the election-night performance and the regulatory questions facing prediction markets.

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