Prediction markets face their biggest accuracy test as US midterms conclude
The midterms are the first mass-scale referendum on whether market-implied probabilities beat conventional polling.
Read at Reuters →Full coverage · 15 outlets
- Reuters · lead
- StreetInsiderPrediction markets face US midterms test as election bets soar
- The GuardianAre prediction markets accurate on elections? The US midterms are a big test
- Yahoo FinancePrediction markets vs. polls: Election forecasting industry faces midterm test
- AxiosPrediction markets have a lot riding on the blue wave
- The Daily UpsideMidterms to Subject Prediction Markets to Reputational Stress Test
- CBCPrediction markets have gone 'mainstream' but what effect will it have on the U.S. midterms?
- The Event HorizonFive Thoughts On Prediction Markets As Midterm Elections Arrive
- Awani InternationalPrediction markets face US midterms test as election bets soar
- FacebookPrediction market platforms are hoping the U.S. midterm elections will be their moment to shine - and help business boom - with a flood of accurate predictions that surpass polls and election forecast
- Council on Foreign RelationsBetting on Democracy
- PoliticoPrediction markets’ credibility ‘on the line’ in midterms
- The Straits TimesWhen will we know who has won the US midterm elections?
- Blue VirginiaTuesday/Election Day News Roundup: "Trump’s midterm campaign has distilled his vile message"; "Ken Burns: We Face Our Nation’s Fourth Great Crisis"
- AOL.comPrediction markets missed Brazil. U.S. midterms are the big test.