The National Futures Association approval moves Polymarket's US derivatives arm toward regulated, fully collateralized brokerage status as it expands beyond off

Prediction markets priced Democratic control of both chambers as total midterm wagering on US races reached record levels.

The reported raise would value the prediction market platform far above its prior funding rounds amid a US expansion push.

The reimbursement follows a breach in which a third-party integration drained user accounts, with the case now referred to UK police.

Lawmakers pressed the two venues to prove their election odds are not tainted by manipulation or insider trading; both missed the requested deadline.

The case is among the highest-profile insider trading prosecutions tied to prediction market wagers.

The DOJ case alleges the soldier traded on nonpublic knowledge of the Venezuela operation, prompting Polymarket to tighten security.

Senate Democrats allege the platform gave preferential treatment to Polymarket, which is tied to Donald Trump Jr., over other advertisers.

Venues including Kalshi are rolling out new security measures as regulators and legislators scrutinize election betting integrity.

Kalshi's US-regulated position appears to be eroding Polymarket's share of prediction market volume.

The venue is seeking to consolidate litigation over its Bitcoin-related markets into federal arbitration.

Organizers allege roughly $200K in suspicious profits were made on markets tied to the award.

The listing extends Polymarket into leveraged, round-the-clock derivatives on private AI company milestones.

The venue opened a review into unusual trading patterns in its Israeli election markets.

Bloomberg reported cooling volume in election markets relative to the prior presidential cycle.

Traders are pricing Anthropic-related markets against Bitcoin performance for the year.

Traders lifted the implied probability of a SpaceX-branded phone service following reported carrier discussions.

Market-implied probabilities lagged Nvidia's actual share decline, with traders positioning for a muted reaction to results.