Midterm election betting tops $1.9 billion as prediction markets price a Democratic sweep
Record trading volume on Kalshi and Polymarket shows election wagering has gone mainstream even as regulators and lawmakers scrutinize the venues.
The Washington Post · +13 outlets
Prediction markets put Democratic chances of sweeping Congress near 75% on Election Day
Markets and final polls converge on a strong Democratic night, with traders pricing roughly 75% odds of winning both chambers.
Quartz · +14 outlets
Democratic Senate chances hit 73% to 75% in Kalshi and Polymarket pricing
Multiple trackers show the Senate control market narrowing to a mid-70s probability for Democrats in the final hours of voting.
Quartz · +14 outlets
Democrat Andrews wins South Carolina Senate race, defying prediction market odds
The upset result came despite markets favoring Republican Lindsey Graham, a rare miss for election traders.
U.S. News & World Report · +14 outlets
Prediction markets face a midterms stress test as election bets soar
Analysts and reporters are treating the 2026 midterms as the biggest accuracy test yet for election markets.
Honolulu Star-Advertiser · +14 outlets
Senators press Kalshi and Polymarket to prove election odds are not tainted
Lawmakers are demanding integrity safeguards as prediction market election volume reaches record highs.
Business Insider · +9 outlets
Midterms fuel prediction market boom as regulators push crackdowns
State officials warn of felony exposure for election bettors while oversight of the venues remains unsettled.
Chosunbiz · +7 outlets
Judge denies injunction against Wisconsin ban on betting then voting in elections
The ruling keeps Wisconsin's restriction on election wagering in place as states test their authority over prediction markets.
The Center Square · +11 outlets
Kalshi midterm trading tops $1.4 billion with traders backing a Democratic sweep
Kalshi's election book crossed $1.4 billion as the platform's political markets drew record participation.
Fortune · +2 outlets
Final FLIPR and other models show a blue tsunami in the midterms
Nate Silver's final forecast and other models align with markets in projecting large Democratic gains.
Axios · +14 outlets
Bettors wager $33 million on Michigan Senate race, favoring Abdul El-Sayed
Michigan is among the most heavily traded individual races on Kalshi as bettors lean toward the Democratic candidate.
Yahoo Finance · +14 outlets
Texas Senate odds show James Talarico leading Ken Paxton at all-time high
Prediction markets diverge from tighter polling in the Texas Senate contest, with Talarico favored.
yahoo · +14 outlets
Who will win the 2026 midterms? Polls, models and markets head into Election Day
Broad previews round up the final polling, model and market expectations for House and Senate control.
Delawareonline.com · +14 outlets
Polls and prediction markets differ on Democrats' odds, with markets more bullish
Several analyses note markets assigning higher confidence to a blue sweep than traditional polling averages.
Hindustan Times · +14 outlets
Nate Silver flags 'insane' pattern in final Election Day Polymarket forecasts
The forecaster contrasted his polling model with prediction market pricing in the closing hours of the race.
The Daily Beast · +4 outlets
Iowa Senate odds flip to Turek in Polymarket midterms market
A late shift in the Iowa Senate market moved the favored candidate as Election Day approached.
Action Network · +10 outlets
Election trading stagnates on prediction markets after the 2024 boom
Reports suggest political volume is not growing as fast as once expected while sports and crypto markets expand.
Bloomberg.com · +1 outlets
Kansas Senate odds show Adam Hamilton surging past Roger Marshall
The Kansas Senate market tightened sharply, drawing attention as a potential Democratic pickup.
Oddschecker