Archive snapshot · Markets
Tue, Nov 3, 3:46 PM ET
Nearly $1.9 billion traded on US midterms across prediction markets, with Democrats favored to sweep Congress
Midterm trading volume on Kalshi and Polymarket is setting records as markets price heavy Democratic odds, a key test of whether prediction markets beat traditi
The Washington Post · +15 outlets
Kalshi's midterm trading tops $1.4 billion as traders bet on a Democratic sweep of Congress
Kalshi says midterm volume passed $1.4 billion, with users heavily positioned on Democrats taking both chambers.
Fortune · +3 outlets
DraftKings, FanDuel and Fanatics scale back Utah prediction markets after Kalshi criminal charges
Multiple sportsbook operators are pulling or pausing Utah prediction market offerings following criminal charges against Kalshi in the state.
Yogonet · +14 outlets
Polymarket unit wins US industry group approval to operate as a futures broker
An industry organization approved a Polymarket unit to act as a futures broker, advancing the platform's US regulated footprint.
Reuters · +8 outlets
Kalshi launches first US stock perpetuals as Wall Street pushes back
Kalshi began offering perpetual futures tied to US equities, drawing objections from established Wall Street firms.
Ledger Insights · +13 outlets
Polymarket to halt Michigan sports prediction markets by November 25
Polymarket is winding down Michigan sports markets, the latest venue to retreat amid state-level pressure on event contracts.
Casino.com · +14 outlets
Prediction market volume jumps 55% to a new record in October, Jefferies says
Jefferies data show October prediction market volume up 55% month over month to a record, signaling rapid category growth.
Casino.org · +1 outlets
Sporttrade receives CFTC approval to enter prediction markets
Sporttrade secured CFTC clearance to launch event contracts, adding another regulated entrant to the prediction market field.
Covers.com · +9 outlets
Prediction market insider trading draws compliance scrutiny
Platforms and regulators are grappling with insider trading risk as election markets attract large volumes.
FinTech Global · +12 outlets
Kalshi parlay taker losses top $1 billion
Combined losses on Kalshi parlay products have crossed $1 billion, underscoring the scale of retail activity on the venue.
CDC Gaming · +7 outlets
Prediction markets face bipartisan scrutiny in Washington after the midterms
Lawmakers from both parties are signaling oversight of prediction markets once election season ends.
Front Office Sports · +9 outlets
Sportradar says prediction markets drove 24% Q3 revenue surge
Sportradar credited prediction markets with a significant role in its third quarter growth as event contracts show up in earnings.
Investing.com · +6 outlets
Nate Silver flags 'insane' pattern in final election forecasts versus Polymarket prices
Nate Silver highlighted large gaps between his forecast model and prediction market pricing in the final midterm stretch.
The Daily Beast · +1 outlets
Kalshi users wager $33 million on Michigan Senate race, with most bets on Abdul El-Sayed
Michigan's Senate market has drawn heavy volume on Kalshi, where Abdul El-Sayed's odds rose after Haley Stevens news.
Yahoo Finance · +14 outlets
Illinois appeals after judge blocks state prediction markets law
Illinois is appealing a ruling that blocked its law restricting prediction markets, extending the state-level legal fight.
SBC Americas · +14 outlets
Marex clears first institutional event contract transaction on Kalshi
Marex completed clearing of an event contract trade for a large financial institution on Kalshi, a step toward institutional participation.
Marex · +4 outlets
Robinhood earns far more per prediction trade than per stock trade, analysis finds
Robinhood's economics on event contracts are far richer than equities trading, a factor behind its prediction market push.
Coinpaper
Prediction markets see Democrats winning at least 53 Senate seats
Market pricing implies Democrats are favored to reach or exceed 53 Senate seats, above a bare majority.
Benzinga

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