Sens. Curtis and Warren press Kalshi, Polymarket to disclose election insider-trading safeguards
The bipartisan letter asks the two largest prediction-market venues how they police trading on election outcomes ahead of the midterms.
bloomingbit · +13 outlets
Kalshi, Polymarket face their biggest accuracy test yet with the 2026 midterms
Critics say prediction-market odds drifted from polls and missed recent elections, putting the venues' credibility on the line as voters head to the polls.
The New York Times · +14 outlets
CNBC: suspicious election-contract trading draws scrutiny on prediction markets
The report examines unusual trading patterns in election markets, adding to questions about market integrity days before Election Day.
CNBC · +4 outlets
Polymarket investigates suspicious trades on Israeli election
The probe marks another integrity test for the platform as it expands into non-US political markets.
Bloomberg.com · +14 outlets
Kalshi raises $1B at a $40B valuation, eyes new markets
The funding round underscores how much capital is flowing into regulated event contracts as the midterms approach.
DeFi Rate · +7 outlets
Kalshi and Polymarket load up on media deals ahead of the midterms
The venues are spending to embed their odds in news coverage and reach mainstream audiences before Election Day.
Bloomberg.com · +13 outlets
Newsrooms use prediction markets but keep odds off the air
Editors cite accuracy and editorial concerns in limiting how prominently market prices appear in election coverage.
Briefs Finance · +13 outlets
Ohio experts urge state to restrict wagering on election outcomes
The push adds to a growing state-level debate over whether election betting should be treated as gambling.
NBC4 WCMH-TV · +2 outlets
Report: election betting odds became less accurate as primaries neared
The findings give ammunition to critics who argue prediction markets can be moved by thin liquidity and speculative flows.
NBC News · +1 outlets
Prediction-market prices diverge from traditional polls in North Carolina races
The gap between market-implied odds and survey averages highlights the debate over which signal better reflects the electorate.
NC Newsline · +9 outlets
Study finds prediction markets appear in half of sampled midterm forecast searches
The data points to prediction-market odds becoming a mainstream reference for election watchers.
Yahoo Finance · +2 outlets
Gaming donors back Lombardo in Nevada governor race as odds shift toward Ford
Casino-industry money stays with the incumbent while market-implied odds move to his challenger, a notable split in a key gambling state.
iGaming Business · +1 outlets
Senate control hinges on a handful of battlegrounds, per current odds and forecasts
Multiple forecasters and market venues converge on the same set of Senate races likely to decide the majority.
NewsNation · +13 outlets
Silver Bulletin publishes FLIPR forecasts for the 2026 midterms and Senate
The model joins a crowded field of forecasters publishing seat-by-seat projections before Election Day.
Silver Bulletin · +13 outlets
Polls and forecasts point to a competitive 2026 midterm cycle
Aggregated polling and model projections show a tight contest for control of Congress with Election Day at hand.
The Times · +14 outlets
Prediction markets overwhelmingly favor Talarico over Paxton in Texas Senate race
The Texas contest is among the most heavily traded Senate markets, with odds diverging from conventional polling expectations.
Dallas Observer · +14 outlets
A poll slows 'blue wave' momentum despite prediction-market confidence in Democrats
The shift highlights the tension between survey movement and market pricing in the final days of the campaign.
Covers.com
Prediction markets cast Fazio as underdog to Lamont in Connecticut
The Connecticut race is one of several where market prices put an incumbent ahead despite a competitive challenge.
WFSB · +1 outlets