Sens. Curtis and Warren Press Kalshi and Polymarket Over Election Event Contracts
The bipartisan inquiry asks the two prediction market operators how they safeguard election markets against manipulation ahead of the midterms.
The Hill · +5 outlets
Kalshi Raises $1B at $40B Valuation, Eyes New Markets
The new funding values the prediction market platform at $40B as it expands beyond election and event contracts.
DeFi Rate · +7 outlets
CFTC Sues Utah as State Battles Over Prediction Markets Escalate
Federal regulators are clashing with states over jurisdiction as Utah files criminal charges against Kalshi.
DeFi Rate · +11 outlets
Polymarket Probes Suspicious Trades on Israeli Election
The platform is investigating irregular bets around the Israeli election, with roughly $70M in Polymarket positions thrown into turmoil.
The New York Times · +14 outlets
Ohio Bill Would Ban Election Betting and Prediction Markets
Ohio lawmakers and outside experts are pressing to prohibit wagering on election outcomes on platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket.
Gambling.com · +14 outlets
CNBC: Suspicious Election-Contract Trading Draws Scrutiny on Prediction Markets
An investigation details potentially suspicious trading activity in election contracts on prediction market platforms.
CNBC · +4 outlets
Polymarket and Kalshi Face Midterms Accuracy Test
The two platforms have built multimillion-dollar election markets that now face their biggest test of predictive reliability.
The New York Times · +12 outlets
Netanyahu Claims Israeli Election 'Stolen'; Trump Says He Will Look at Helping
The Israeli prime minister alleged fraud in the election as the US president said he would consider assistance.
The Independent · +14 outlets
Election Betting Odds Became Less Accurate as Primaries Neared, Report Finds
A new report says prediction market accuracy for primaries deteriorated as voting approached.
NBC News · +1 outlets
Kalshi and Polymarket Piled On Media Deals Ahead of Midterms
The prediction market firms struck a series of media partnerships as election coverage ramped up.
Bloomberg.com · +3 outlets
Nate Silver's Forecaster Shifts 9 Senate Races Toward Democrats
The Silver Bulletin forecast updated Senate and midterm races, citing Democratic polling strength.
Newsweek · +10 outlets
Prediction Markets Diverged From Traditional Polls in North Carolina Races
North Carolina Senate and other races showed a gap between market-implied odds and conventional polling as Election Day neared.
NC Newsline · +5 outlets
Prediction Markets' Election Record Questioned as They Shape Coverage
Critics argue markets are increasingly influencing election narratives even as their track record remains mixed.
Straight Arrow · +6 outlets
Prediction Markets Flopped on Recent Elections, Semafor Reports
Recent election outcomes showed prediction market pricing missing the mark.
Semafor · +6 outlets
Ohio Bill Would Ban Election Betting on Kalshi and Polymarket
State legislation targets both major prediction market venues over wagering on election results.
GamblingSites.com · +14 outlets
Texas Senate: Prediction Markets Heavily Favor Talarico Over Paxton
Markets and bookmakers show Talarico leading the Texas Senate race against Paxton by wide margins.
Dallas Observer · +13 outlets
The Economist Publishes Its 2026 Midterm Forecast
The Economist released its model-based projection for the midterm elections.
The Economist