Archive snapshot · Politics
Fri, Oct 30, 4:46 AM ET
CFTC sues Utah over state crackdown as Kalshi faces criminal charges
The federal-state conflict over prediction markets escalates as Utah pursues criminal charges against Kalshi while the CFTC sues the state, testing who regulate
Bloomberg.com · +7 outlets
Sens. Curtis and Warren probe Kalshi and Polymarket over election market safeguards
Lawmakers are asking the two largest prediction markets how they police manipulation and protect election integrity ahead of the midterms.
Punchbowl News · +4 outlets
Ohio lawmakers advance bill to ban election betting and prediction markets
Ohio becomes the latest state to weigh a blanket prohibition on wagering on elections, targeting Kalshi and Polymarket directly.
iGamingToday.com · +14 outlets
Polymarket probes suspicious trades around Israel election as $70M in bets swings
A late shift in Israel's vote left a large Polymarket position on Eisenkot worthless and prompted an internal review of unusual trading activity.
Yahoo Finance · +5 outlets
Kalshi valued at $40B after new funding round
The valuation underscores how quickly prediction markets have grown into major financial venues ahead of the US midterms.
Covers.com · +14 outlets
Study finds election betting odds grew less accurate as primaries neared
New research challenges the claim that prediction markets reliably forecast elections, finding accuracy degraded during primary season.
NBC News · +3 outlets
Brazil orders probe into election interference involving Polymarket and Meta
Brazilian authorities are investigating alleged coordinated election interference linked to a political donor network, Polymarket and Meta.
MeidasTouch News · +4 outlets
Polymarket and Kalshi turn midterms into a multimillion dollar market
Trading volume on the two platforms has surged into the hundreds of millions as bettors price control of Congress.
The New York Times · +10 outlets
Election forecasters shift Senate races as Silver touts Democratic polling
Forecasters have revised a swath of Senate races amid signs of Democratic momentum in late polling.
Newsweek · +9 outlets
Prediction markets diverge from traditional polls in North Carolina races
Traders and pollsters are reading the state's Senate and House contests differently as Election Day approaches.
NC Newsline · +3 outlets
Notices: analysts debate whether election news is becoming a betting game
A wave of commentary examines how prediction markets are reshaping election coverage and whether they improve or distort public understanding.
The Boston Globe · +10 outlets
Texas midterm odds show Talarico leading Senate market
Traders give the Democratic state senator an edge in a contest drawing outsized betting interest.
Covers.com · +14 outlets
Texas voters weigh public gambling measure in election preview
A ballot question on expanding gambling could signal shifting attitudes in a major sports-betting holdout state.
Covers.com · +9 outlets
Virginia 5th District race draws heavy prediction market trading
A single House contest is generating unusual volume on prediction markets, highlighting their growing role in down-ballot races.
WSET · +2 outlets
Minnesota election could shift state sports betting debate
The outcome of Minnesota races may determine whether the state moves toward legal sports betting.
GamingToday · +14 outlets
California billionaire tax proposal gets reality check ahead of Election Day
Bettors are pricing dim odds for a wealth tax measure as voters head to the polls.
New York Post · +9 outlets
Maine Senate odds: Collins trails as traders weigh 30-year tenure
Prediction markets show the incumbent senator running behind in one of the cycle's most-watched races.
Oddschecker
George Santos calls for ban on Kalshi, saying it is gambling
The former congressman adds a prominent voice to calls for restricting prediction markets.
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