Utah files criminal charges against prediction market Kalshi; CFTC countersues, widening state-federal fight
The clash between state gambling regulators and the CFTC over event contracts has escalated into criminal charges and federal litigation, testing who governs el
Bloomberg.com · +14 outlets
Polymarket and Kalshi turn the 2026 midterms into a multimillion dollar market
The New York Times reports the venues have become a major venue for US election trading as midterm volume and attention surge.
The New York Times · +14 outlets
Sens. Curtis and Warren probe election prediction markets
Congressional scrutiny of event contracts adds a federal political dimension to the states-versus-CFTC fight over election betting.
Punchbowl News · +3 outlets
Polymarket probes suspicious trades around Israel election after Netanyahu's Likud claims victory
The internal review follows reports of anomalous activity on Israeli election contracts, drawing fresh attention to market integrity.
Yahoo Finance · +3 outlets
Ohio lawmakers advance bill to ban election betting and prediction markets
The proposed state ban would bar Kalshi and Polymarket election contracts in Ohio, adding to a growing set of state-level restrictions.
iGamingToday.com · +14 outlets
Israel election sends $70 million in Polymarket bets into turmoil as exit polls show deadlock
Markets repriced sharply as votes tallied and no clear winner emerged in the prime minister race.
Ynetnews · +13 outlets
Kalshi sues Missouri and Louisiana officials over prediction market cease-and-desist actions
Kalshi is pushing back in court against state officials who have moved to block its event contracts.
DeFi Rate · +7 outlets
Brazil orders election interference probe involving Vance donor network, Polymarket and Meta
Brazilian authorities are examining prediction market activity and platform data in a widening election interference inquiry.
MeidasTouch News · +4 outlets
Trump says he will look at helping Netanyahu after Israeli leader claims election 'stolen'
The US president's comments come as Israel's election results remain contested and vote counts continue.
The Independent · +13 outlets
Markets put full Democratic sweep odds near 50-50 as midterm bets shift
Traders have moved toward pricing a Democratic sweep of Congress at roughly even odds heading into Election Day.
Action Network · +14 outlets
Election betting odds grew less accurate as primaries neared, report finds
New research questions the predictive reliability of election markets in the final stretch of primaries.
NBC News · +3 outlets
Polymarket refers midterm bets to CFTC as anonymous offshore wallets dominate election markets
The referral highlights concerns about who is trading US election contracts and where the money originates.
Cryptonews.net · +1 outlets
Senate control odds move as midterm markets reprice
Traders and forecasters are updating Senate control probabilities as the campaign closes.
Covers.com · +14 outlets
Event contracts on election outcomes are a huge gamble, Better Markets warns
The advocacy group argues election event contracts carry risks that warrant regulatory caution.
Better Markets · +13 outlets
Prediction markets diverge from traditional polls in North Carolina races as Election Day nears
NC races show a gap between market pricing and conventional polling, drawing interest from both traders and local media.
NC Newsline · +4 outlets
Silver Bulletin and Economist roll out 2026 midterm forecasts, some updating every 10 minutes
Forecasters are publishing frequently refreshed models as the midterm campaign closes.
Silver Bulletin · +4 outlets
Constitutional and policy questions raised over prediction markets' effect on democracy
Policy groups and opinion writers debate whether election betting markets distort or inform democratic discourse.
Tech Policy Press
Reuters commentary: biggest market impact of US midterms may be the 2028 countdown
The column argues investors should focus on how midterm results shape the next presidential cycle.
Reuters