More than $1.4 billion traded on prediction markets for the 2026 midterms
The volume figure illustrates how quickly election trading has scaled relative to traditional forecasting ahead of November 3.
CNN · +5 outlets
States and the NFL argue Kalshi and Polymarket offerings constitute illegal gambling
The legal fight over whether event contracts are gaming or financial products remains the central regulatory question for the sector.
Newsmax · +14 outlets
Senate control odds put Democrats at roughly 68% on Kalshi and Polymarket
Market-implied probabilities for the Senate and House majorities are being closely tracked as a polling alternative.
Action Network · +7 outlets
Prediction markets show a Democratic midterm sweep as Trump approval hits a low
Traders have shifted toward a Democratic outcome across several 2026 races as the president's approval numbers decline.
Covers.com · +14 outlets
Bloomberg: how prediction markets upstaged election polls
The report examines the growing reliance on market prices over survey data in election coverage.
Bloomberg.com · +1 outlets
CFTC chair discusses prediction markets, election and oil trades in Bloomberg interview
The regulator's comments come as the CFTC weighs the status of event contracts tied to elections.
Bloomberg.com · +8 outlets
DraftKings moves deeper into election trading
The sportsbook's expansion into event contracts adds a listed operator to the election-market landscape.
The Closing Line · +14 outlets
CBS News partners with a betting app for sponsored election coverage
The sponsored arrangement drew criticism over the blending of news coverage with betting promotion.
Daily Kos · +13 outlets
Canada tightens prediction market rules amid Polymarket growth
Canadian regulators are adjusting their framework as event-contract volumes rise.
Casino.org · +4 outlets
Study raises concerns that election betting could skew North Carolina voters' expectations
Researchers warn that market prices may shape perceptions of race outcomes ahead of the midterms.
WRAL · +1 outlets
Election prediction markets operate in Nebraska despite likely being illegal
The state is among several where event-contract trading continues in an uncertain legal grey area.
Nebraska Public Media · +12 outlets
US election trading on Kalshi and Polymarket jumps 153% to $104M
The week-over-week volume increase reflects rising interest as the midterms approach.
DeFi Rate · +1 outlets
Texas Senate odds show Talarico's lead widening in prediction markets
The Texas Senate race is among the most actively traded primaries and general election contests on the platforms.
Federal News Network · +14 outlets
Early voting opens in Florida, Michigan, New York and New Jersey
Several states began in-person early voting ahead of the November 3 midterms.
Action Network · +13 outlets
Polls and prediction markets split on several Senate races
Coverage compares survey averages with market-implied odds for 2026 Senate contests.
Action Network · +14 outlets
Florida election markets: who leads in prediction markets
Traders are pricing Florida races including the governor's contest and House seats.
Forbes · +14 outlets
Michigan Senate odds tracked after debate
Market prices moved following the Michigan Senate debate.
Federal News Network
Brazil's election runoff odds split as betting licences expire
Brazilian market operators face a licensing deadline while the presidential runoff is closely traded.
NEXT.io · +1 outlets