Prediction markets now central to 2026 midterms as traders price Democratic gains
A wave of market and poll aggregation coverage converges on Democrats' improving odds in House and Senate control roughly two weeks before the midterms.
NKU The Northerner Online · +14 outlets
Kalshi American Power Index hits all-time high for Democrats as Senate odds surge
Kalshi's proprietary index and Senate control pricing show traders shifting toward Democrats following new Ohio and North Carolina polling.
Kalshi News · +6 outlets
Texas Senate: Talarico leads Paxton in polls, holds about two-thirds odds on Kalshi
Polls and prediction markets diverge slightly on the Texas Senate and governor races, with Talarico favored over Paxton in the betting venues.
Action Network · +14 outlets
Ramaswamy's Ohio governor odds crater; Amy Acton surges on Kalshi after attack ad backlash
A Republican backlash over a Ramaswamy ad has shifted Ohio governor race pricing sharply toward Democrat Amy Acton.
DeFi Rate · +3 outlets
Brennan Center study finds Kalshi odds influence voters, who back regulation
New research argues prediction market prices shape voter perceptions even as a majority of respondents favor regulating election betting.
RG.org · +3 outlets
Second lawsuit challenges Wisconsin's ban on election prediction markets
Wisconsin radio host Joe Giganti and the Competitive Enterprise Institute join a growing legal fight over the state's treatment of election contracts.
AOL.com · +14 outlets
Utah sues Kalshi to halt trading and recover millions
Utah becomes the latest state to pursue legal action against the prediction market over election and event contracts.
DeFi Rate · +14 outlets
Ohio threatens prediction market lawsuits as Polymarket sues first
Ohio regulators warn of legal action while estimating the state may forgo roughly $100M in revenue without a regulated prediction market framework.
DeFi Rate · +3 outlets
Midterm prediction market trading volume tops $750M
Betting activity on the 2026 midterms continues to set records as election contracts draw mainstream attention.
GamingToday · +4 outlets
Marine Le Pen's 2027 French presidential odds rise as protests roil France
Prediction market pricing has moved toward Le Pen amid nationwide unrest in France ahead of the 2027 race.
CNBC · +6 outlets
Taiwan blocks Coinbase and Kalshi over suspected election betting
Taiwanese authorities moved to restrict access to the platforms, citing concerns about election wagering.
Tekedia · +14 outlets
Trump approval hits record-low 31% as Kalshi midterm odds shift
Action Network ties a new low in Trump's approval rating to movement in Kalshi's midterm markets.
Action Network · +2 outlets
Bitwise and GraniteShares file for election prediction ETFs
The two asset managers are seeking to launch funds tied to election outcomes, extending prediction markets into public equities.
CoinMarketCap · +9 outlets
Silver Bulletin pollster says midterm news is better for Democrats than it appears
The forecast from Silver Bulletin's model suggests Democratic odds may be understated by conventional polling averages.
New York Post · +14 outlets
Election betting laws vary by state as Kalshi and Polymarket face scrutiny
The patchwork of state rules governing election wagers remains unsettled amid rising market volume.
Bonus.com · +14 outlets
Maine Senate: Collins vs. Jackson polls and prices tracked
Betting markets and polling are being compared in one of the cycle's most watched Senate races.
Action Network · +14 outlets
Forbes tracks prediction market leaders in Louisiana, Florida and Iowa races
State-level market pricing is being used to gauge frontrunners across several 2026 Senate, House and governor contests.
Forbes · +1 outlets
New York election preview: online casinos and prediction markets loom large
Gambling policy questions are shaping New York's 2026 races as operators eye expansion.
Covers.com · +1 outlets