Archive snapshot · Markets
Mon, Oct 19, 4:45 AM ET
Crypto.com and Novig sue Missouri to block state crackdown on sports prediction markets
The federal suits challenge Missouri's attempt to treat sports event contracts as gambling, testing whether CFTC-regulated exchanges must answer to state regula
Crypto News · +10 outlets
Kalshi suspends 3 congressional candidates for betting on their own races
The suspensions are an early test of how prediction markets police insider trading in political contracts they themselves list.
New York Post · +13 outlets
Kalshi rolls out new security measures aimed at curbing insider trading
The move comes as regulators and lawmakers scrutinize whether event-contract venues adequately police traders with non-public information.
CNBC · +2 outlets
Nasdaq seeks SEC approval for prediction-style Nasdaq-100 contracts
A major exchange operator entering event-style contracts would push prediction markets deeper into mainstream derivatives territory.
CoinMarketCap · +10 outlets
DOJ arrests soldier who made $400,000 betting on Maduro's removal
The case is one of the first criminal insider-trading prosecutions tied to a geopolitical prediction market contract.
BBC · +8 outlets
WSJ: nearly all volume on FIFA-linked prediction market is circular trading
The findings raise questions about whether headline trading volumes on some event markets reflect genuine interest or wash-like activity.
WSJ · +1 outlets
Underdog sues Tennessee seeking injunction over CFTC-regulated event contracts
The suit adds to a growing stack of federal challenges to state authority over sports event contracts.
SCCG Management · +11 outlets
Nevada gaming regulator rejects CFTC split between prediction markets and sports betting
Nevada's stance highlights the widening conflict between federal commodity regulators and state gaming authorities over event contracts.
SCCG Management · +14 outlets
Kalshi says state oversight fight could push US prediction markets offshore
The exchange argues a patchwork of state enforcement would move the industry abroad rather than eliminate demand.
Bonus.com · +14 outlets
CFTC sports event contract proposal raises new questions for sports betting
The proposal seeks to define federal jurisdiction over sports event contracts, a boundary the industry and states are contesting.
Bonus.com · +14 outlets
Google Ads policy bars prediction market advertising in CT, MI, NV, NY and OH
The ad restrictions limit customer acquisition in five states where prediction market legality remains contested.
RG.org · +2 outlets
Novig's Sydney Sweeney ads lifted depositors 362%, but 79% of prediction market users report losses
The data pairs aggressive marketing growth with poor reported outcomes for users, a combination drawing regulatory attention.
Yahoo Finance · +1 outlets
Polymarket odds favor Eisenkot over Netanyahu ahead of Israeli election
The market pricing gives a real-time read on Israeli coalition politics that polls have struggled to capture.
The Jerusalem Post · +8 outlets
FOMC Polymarket odds: rate hike probability falls to 14% ahead of October meeting
Traders have steadily cut the odds of a hike, reflecting shifting expectations for Fed policy this month.
Cryptonews · +1 outlets
Prediction markets shrug off 2026 crash fears as 'Black Monday' chatter builds
Event market pricing diverges from anxious commentary, offering a contrarian read on equity risk sentiment.
Finbold
Texas election markets draw big money as lawmakers weigh oversight
Growing volume on state races is pushing Texas legislators toward defining rules for political event contracts.
WOAI · +2 outlets
Ohio election betting raises question of whether the odds mean anything
Local coverage examines how thin liquidity in state-level contracts can distort the signal traders are reading.
The Columbus Dispatch
Prediction sites forecast sweeping GOP wins across multiple markets
Aggregated market pricing points to Republican gains in several races heading into the election cycle.
1819 News

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