Prediction markets face their first major election test in the 2026 midterms
The midterms will be the first nationwide stress test of whether regulated prediction markets can match polling as an election-forecasting tool.
WZTV · +6 outlets
Bitwise and GraniteShares file for election prediction ETFs
The filings would give retail investors exchange-traded exposure to election-outcome contracts, extending prediction markets into mainstream fund products.
CoinMarketCap · +8 outlets
Lula backs betting ban days before Brazil's tight presidential election
Brazil's president is promoting a popular crackdown on betting as the election nears, putting the future of the regulated market on the ballot.
ABC News · +14 outlets
Kalshi makes a push into election markets ahead of the midterms
Kalshi is expanding its election-contract offerings as it competes with Polymarket for midterm trading volume.
The Event Horizon · +14 outlets
Prediction markets price gas above $4 a gallon on Election Day
Energy-price contracts imply little relief at the pump before voters go to the polls, a factor markets expect to shape the midterm outcome.
www.tokenpost.com · +14 outlets
Sports betting industry funds ad blitz for New York Sen. Chris Ryan's campaign
The spending highlights how gambling operators are directing political money toward candidates who shape state iGaming and betting policy.
Syracuse.com · +1 outlets
Quebec election opens the door to an Ontario-style private iGaming market
A change in Quebec's government could pave the way for regulated private online gambling operators, mirroring Ontario's open market.
Casino.org · +3 outlets
Rogers vs. El-Sayed Michigan Senate debate could move the race's odds
The first head-to-head debate in Michigan's Senate race is seen as a potential inflection point for a contest markets rate as competitive.
Action Network · +14 outlets
Ohio Senate race tightens as GOP works to protect a House seat
Republicans are spending to defend a House district alongside a narrowing Senate contest, a sign of the party's midterm exposure in Ohio.
Action Network · +14 outlets
Kalshi vs. Polymarket: 2026 House control odds diverge
The two largest prediction venues show differing pricing on which party wins the House, a comparison point for market-based election forecasts.
Covers.com · +9 outlets
Wisconsin official challenges state election-betting guidance
A local government leader is contesting Wisconsin's guidance on election-related betting, part of a wider fight over state oversight of prediction markets.
Wisconsin Right Now · +13 outlets
Silver Bulletin launches FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast
Nate Silver's outlet released a new midterm forecasting model, adding another data-driven read on the House and Senate map.
Silver Bulletin · +9 outlets
Wisconsin governor's race tight, Crowley priced at 79% on Kalshi
Kalshi traders put David Crowley well ahead even as polling shows a close Wisconsin governor's race.
DeFi Rate · +6 outlets
GOP spends $5M in South Carolina Senate race
The outlay signals Republicans are treating the South Carolina Senate seat as a priority in the midterm map.
DeFi Rate · +14 outlets
Michigan elections: who leads in prediction markets
Market odds across Michigan's Senate, House and governor races, alongside Covers.com's preview of the same contests.
Forbes · +14 outlets
Who will win the 2026 midterm elections? Polls and predictions
An aggregation of polling and forecast data on the 2026 midterm contests.
The Times · +14 outlets
Colorado elections: who leads in prediction markets
Prediction-market pricing for Colorado's midterm races, part of a Forbes series on state-level election odds.
Forbes
Do prediction markets beat polls? A 2026 midterm preview
A comparison of market-implied odds against traditional polling ahead of the midterms.
Casino.org