The bill would bar candidates from trading markets on their own races and fine violators, amid rising scrutiny of prediction market manipulation after the Kinzi

Flavio Bolsonaro outperformed polling in Brazil's first round, sending the race to a runoff and boosting Brazilian assets.

Forecasts and prediction market prices show the fight for control of both chambers ahead of the 2026 midterms.

The growth figure underscores how quickly regulated US prediction markets are scaling ahead of the midterms.

Operators suspended service as the country's regulated market heads toward a runoff that will shape its future betting rules.

An investigation into betting tied to former congressman Adam Kinzinger is fueling debate over insider trading on political markets.

A pending decision on whether to take up a prediction market case would shape the legal footing of US election and event contracts.

The gambling industry roundup tracks prediction market growth alongside sportsbooks' state-by-state lobbying efforts.

The product extends Kalshi beyond event contracts into index-linked perpetual futures.

The report examines how election market prices may feed back into voter and donor perceptions.

A side-by-side of the two largest prediction venues shows where their House control prices diverge.

Traders are pricing several midterm races differently from published polling averages.

The proposal would let traders take positions on aggregate market volume rather than only event outcomes.

Market prices for Senate control reflect the closest races heading into the 2026 cycle.

Traders on Kalshi are pricing longer-horizon political outcomes beyond the 2026 cycle.

Analysts discuss growing retail interest in political prediction markets as the midterms approach.

A Manifold market puts roughly one-in-four odds on a Musk-led political party before 2028.

The Florida Senate matchup draws market and polling attention as a key 2026 contest.