The CFTC's scrutiny of trading incentives could reshape how prediction market venues attract liquidity.

The two casino giants passing on prediction markets leaves Kalshi and Polymarket to compete for US event-contract volume against legal sportsbook incumbents.

Aggregated prediction market and forecast pricing for the 2026 midterms shows Democrats favored in both chambers, a signal watched as an alternative to traditio

The ban cut digital payment volumes and drew majority public support in polling, with analysts asking whether South Africa or other markets could follow.

The incumbent's entry sets up a race that prediction markets already treat as close to a coin flip.

State-by-state legality remains the central uncertainty for sports event contracts as regulators weigh in.

Polymarket and sportsbook-style election odds are being cited alongside polls as traders price control of Congress.

Short-duration crypto contracts are becoming a significant volume driver for prediction market platforms.

Analysts examine how well event markets price tight elections in emerging democracies.

State-level market pricing is being tracked for races that could determine Senate and House control.

Several Republican-leaning Senate seats are drawing interest as traders hedge on the breadth of the Democratic map.

Long-dated presidential contracts show prediction markets extending their horizons years beyond the next cycle.

Event contracts on presidential departure add to the roster of novel political markets drawing regulatory attention.

Commentary questions market reliability as election odds gain prominence in political coverage.

The two sectors increasingly feed each other through liquidity, technology and shared user bases.

Local coverage highlights how event market pricing is re-emerging as a visible campaign signal.

Geopolitical event contracts are being priced alongside election markets.

The endorsement reshapes an already crowded contest in Peru's capital.