The Brazilian president's decree halts online betting platforms nine days before the vote, tightening rules on a market that had become central to campaign deba

The gap highlights how prediction market odds can diverge from traditional election analysts' ratings.

The divergence illustrates differing methods and populations between market pricing and traditional polling.

The warning comes as prediction markets expand into state and local races ahead of the midterms.

A state-by-state breakdown follows a year of court fights over whether sports event contracts count as regulated gambling.

The Ethereum co-founder frames prediction markets as an information and currency tool rather than a betting product.

Analysts point to market-implied probabilities as an alternative gauge of macroeconomic expectations.

The piece rounds up market pricing for Georgia's statewide contests.

The segment reviews market and polling signals in key Senate contests.

Market odds for South Carolina races are compared against conventional expectations.

The listing extends prediction market coverage into Canadian municipal elections.

Early 2028 market pricing shifts as the midterm cycle approaches.

The model offers seat-level projections for the 2026 midterms.

The forecast maps seat-by-seat odds for control of the Senate.

A roundup of polling averages and prediction market pricing for the midterms.

Market listings address whether the New York mayor could constitutionally run for president.

Market pricing lists contenders for the 2026 press secretary opening.

The argument is that requiring cash wagers adds friction for problem gamblers.