Brazil's Lula bans online betting and offers debt relief ahead of presidential election
The move tightens restrictions on Brazil's large sports betting market in an election year, with the government pairing the ban with consumer debt relief.
Courthouse News · +8 outlets
New York and Polymarket sue each other over whether prediction markets are illegal gambling
The dueling suits escalate the fight over which regulator has authority over event contracts on sports, elections and culture.
The Business Times · +14 outlets
Sixth Circuit rules against Kalshi, allowing Ohio and Tennessee to enforce sports betting laws
The appellate ruling backs state authority over Kalshi's sports event contracts, a setback for the prediction market's legal position.
DeFi Rate · +14 outlets
Kalshi and Polymarket midterm trading tops $750 million as campaigns adapt
Prediction market volume on the 2026 midterms has grown large enough that campaigns and strategists are watching the prices.
Межа. Новини України. · +2 outlets
CFTC staff presses exchanges on political speech prediction market bets and manipulation risk
The regulator is asking exchanges how they would prevent manipulation in contracts tied to political speech and elections.
CryptoRank · +14 outlets
Georgia secretary of state warns election officials against political betting
The warning reflects state-level concern that election workers could face conflicts or integrity questions over prediction market wagers.
FOX 5 Atlanta · +14 outlets
TD Cowen says prediction market bills will not pass in 2026
The policy analyst view suggests federal legislation on prediction markets stalls this Congress, leaving the fight to courts and agencies.
CoinMarketCap · +14 outlets
CNN reports the 'first prediction-market election' is reshaping midterm campaigns
The report describes how market prices have become a visible reference point in campaign coverage and strategy.
CNN · +3 outlets
CBS Sports tracks legal status of Kalshi and Polymarket across all 50 states
The state-by-state survey shows a patchwork of legality as courts and regulators diverge on event contracts.
CBS Sports · +14 outlets
Silver Bulletin publishes FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast
The model adds a statistical forecast to a midterm cycle where prediction market prices are drawing broad attention.
Silver Bulletin · +8 outlets
Forbes examines who leads in prediction markets for Georgia, South Carolina and Alaska races
State-level market pricing on Senate and statewide contests offers an early read on races that will decide chamber control.
Forbes
The Times publishes 2026 midterm polls and predictions roundup
Aggregated polling and forecast data frame the battle for control of Congress.
thetimes.com · +13 outlets
Public partners with Kalshi to bring AI trading agents to prediction markets
The tie-up puts automated agents into event contract trading, a step toward broader retail participation.
Fortune · +14 outlets
Polymarket and Brazilian polls diverge on Bolsonaro's standing, with both defensible
The market-versus-poll gap reflects different question wording and sampling rather than necessarily contradictory information.
Latin Times · +1 outlets
Kalshi and Polymarket midterm markets tracked for House control odds
Live trackers on House control show how the two venues price the same race differently.
Covers.com · +14 outlets
Cambridge mayoral race draws bets on a US prediction market platform
Local Canadian contests are appearing on prediction markets, extending the format beyond national elections.
CambridgeToday.ca · +1 outlets
DeFi Rate posts 2026 California governor odds for Becerra versus Hilton
Market prices on the California governor's race reflect an open-seat contest drawing national attention.
DeFi Rate · +1 outlets
Analysis asks whether prediction markets can create the future they forecast
The piece examines feedback effects when market prices themselves influence political outcomes.
Asia Times