Sixth Circuit rules against Kalshi, says states can regulate sports prediction markets
The appeals court held that Kalshi's sports event contracts are gambling rather than financial swaps, letting Ohio and Tennessee enforce their gambling laws and
Courthouse News · +15 outlets
New York sues Polymarket for running an unlicensed gambling operation; Polymarket countersues
New York's suit seeks triple gains and $100,000 penalties while Polymarket argues the state's gambling law cannot reach its federally regulated event contracts.
The New York Times · +15 outlets
New Jersey and lawmakers push for Supreme Court review of prediction market regulation
The escalating split between state gambling regulators and the CFTC is pushing the dispute over who oversees event contracts toward the Supreme Court.
Gambling News · +13 outlets
Kalshi and Polymarket both target $20B valuations in fundraising talks
Fundraising discussions would roughly double Kalshi's valuation as the two platforms race to lock in capital while their legal footing is contested.
CoinMarketCap · +9 outlets
Senate Banking Democrats ask Tim Scott for a public hearing on prediction markets
All 11 Senate Banking Democrats signed the request, widening the congressional pressure campaign on prediction market oversight alongside separate reform propos
unchainedcrypto.com · +13 outlets
CFTC issues advisory warning on manipulation risks in mention markets
The guidance targets event contracts tied to whether a person or thing is mentioned, a category regulators see as unusually vulnerable to manipulation.
iGaming Business · +13 outlets
Polymarket US weekly trading volume tops $4B as it gains ground
Polymarket's US volume milestone underscores how quickly rebounded US activity has grown since its re-entry into the domestic market.
Yahoo Finance · +3 outlets
35% of bettors are leaving sportsbooks for prediction markets
Survey data shows sportsbook users shifting volume to prediction markets, which operate under a different regulatory framework than licensed sportsbooks.
Fortune · +4 outlets
Kalshi reports $156M in prediction market revenue as that business outpaces stock trading at Robinhood
Prediction markets have become a fast-growing revenue line for Robinhood, which routes customer orders to Kalshi.
ReadWrite · +2 outlets
Doubts grow over prediction market liquidity and what happens if a platform fails
As volumes boom, questions mount over whether contracts can be settled if an operator goes bust and whether the CFTC has narrowed its own authority.
Forbes · +14 outlets
Kalshi blocks prediction markets on California tribal lands amid sovereignty dispute
Tribal leaders told lawmakers that prediction market expansion threatens sovereignty and shared gaming revenue.
Casino.com · +8 outlets
DraftKings dips as adjusted data narrows Kalshi's 76% prediction market lead
Revised market share figures trimmed Kalshi's apparent dominance, with Robinhood and Flutter Entertainment shares also slipping.
Yahoo Finance · +3 outlets
Kalshi CEO says platform wants more guardrails as calls for regulation grow
The CEO's public stance comes as state attorneys general and federal lawmakers intensify scrutiny of event contracts.
PBS · +8 outlets
Public partners with Kalshi to bring AI trading agents to prediction markets
The tie-up links Kalshi event data to AI-powered investing tools, part of a broader push to make prediction market data machine-readable.
TradingView · +14 outlets
DOJ arrests soldier who made $400,000 betting on Maduro's removal
The case is among the first criminal prosecutions involving prediction market profits tied to geopolitical events.
BBC · +8 outlets
Morgan Stanley joins NEXTPredict as prediction markets court institutional money
The bank's involvement signals growing institutional appetite for event contract data and venues.
Yahoo Finance · +3 outlets
JPMorgan initiates Genius Sports at Overweight on prediction market optionality
The bank sees nearly 40% upside, citing the sports data company's exposure to prediction market growth.
finance.biggo.com · +1 outlets
CNN: the 'first prediction-market election' scrambles the midterms
Campaigns and analysts are adapting to real-time odds on races as prediction markets become a mainstream information source.
CNN