New York and Polymarket sue each other over whether prediction markets are illegal gambling
The dueling suits escalate a jurisdictional fight over whether the CFTC or state gambling regulators control event contracts, a question that will shape the US
The Business Times · +14 outlets
CFTC staff presses exchanges on political speech prediction market bets, asks how to prevent manipulation
The agency's questions signal heightened federal scrutiny of event contracts on political outcomes as the sector's volume grows.
CryptoSlate · +13 outlets
Kalshi and Polymarket trading on 2026 midterms tops $750 million
The figure underscores how quickly election betting has become a mainstream venue for pricing US political outcomes.
Bonus.com · +6 outlets
Polymarket odds give Democrats 65.5% chance of winning Senate control
Bettors have moved Democrats to favorites for the Senate as the midterm map firms up, a shift widely cited in coverage of the 2026 races.
TradingView · +6 outlets
CNN: the 'first prediction-market election' scrambles the midterms
Analysts debate how betting-implied odds are feeding back into campaign strategy, fundraising and media coverage of the 2026 cycle.
CNN · +5 outlets
Pew: prediction market trading volume doubled between May and July, driven largely by sports
The data offers the clearest public breakdown yet of what is actually being traded on US prediction market platforms.
Pew Research Center
Public partners with Kalshi to bring AI trading agents to prediction markets
The tie-up shows brokers pushing automated execution into event contracts as the category matures.
Fortune · +14 outlets
Lula to ban online betting and offer debt relief before Brazil's election
The move targets gambling-linked household debt in a bid to shore up support ahead of the vote, with implications for offshore operators.
Bloomberg.com · +13 outlets
Midterm forecast models and polls: latest outlook on House and Senate control
Aggregated polling and forecast models remain the baseline against which prediction market odds are compared.
Delawareonline.com · +14 outlets
Midterm election odds shift as more races join the battleground list
Updated odds reflect a widening set of competitive districts as both parties contest control of Congress.
Daily Mail · +14 outlets
Silver Bulletin publishes FLIPR 2026 midterm election forecast
The model adds another quantitative benchmark for how the midterms are shaping up.
Silver Bulletin · +10 outlets
Colorado's four competitive House races in the spotlight on prediction markets
State-level coverage shows bettors and forecasters focusing on a handful of districts that could decide the House.
The Coloradoan · +1 outlets
Alaska elections: who leads in prediction markets
Alaska's statewide and congressional contests draw market attention as part of a broader set of state-level odds pieces.
Forbes · +14 outlets
Georgia elections: who leads in prediction markets
Georgia remains a focal state for traders pricing the 2026 midterms.
Forbes · +14 outlets
Odds on Trump's next press secretary draw prediction market interest
Personnel markets are a small but visible slice of political event contract activity.
Covers.com · +14 outlets
Kalshi departure market prices odds of Trump leaving the presidency
The contract is a gauge of how traders assess political instability risk, not a forecast endorsement.
Covers.com · +14 outlets
2026 California governor race: Becerra vs. Hilton odds
California's open-seat contest is among the state races attracting prediction market attention.
DeFi Rate
US-Iran prediction markets: current odds
Geopolitical contracts on US-Iran developments remain an active niche on prediction platforms.
Covers.com