Archive snapshot · Politics
Thu, Sep 24, 4:46 AM ET
Democrats favored in 2026 midterms as prediction markets swing toward them for House and Senate
Multiple books and forecasters now price Democratic control of both chambers, a shift from earlier in the cycle.
Gambling.com · +13 outlets
Kalshi market prices odds of Trump leaving the presidency
A departure contract on the regulated exchange gives a live read on trader expectations about Trump finishing his term.
Covers.com · +14 outlets
Brazilian stocks break with electoral pattern as the presidential race tightens, J.P. Morgan says
The bank argues equity performance is decoupling from historical election-cycle trends in Brazil.
Valor International
Prediction markets show four Colorado House races as competitive
Local coverage uses market pricing to flag the state's tightest congressional contests.
The Coloradoan · +14 outlets
US-Iran tension priced in prediction markets
Traders assign odds to escalation scenarios between Washington and Tehran.
Covers.com · +14 outlets
California governor odds: Becerra versus Hilton in 2026 race
Market pricing on the open California governor's race is tracked in the run-up to the primary.
DeFi Rate · +14 outlets
Rhode Island races draw prediction market attention as traders price statewide contests
Forbes reviews where markets stand on Rhode Island's 2026 elections.
Forbes
Vivek Ramaswamy's fortune reaches $2.3 billion as his Ohio governor odds decline
The report ties his wealth to his business holdings while noting softening market odds in the Ohio governor's race.
The American Bazaar
Explainer: what prediction markets are and whether they can forecast the future
An analysis piece examines the mechanics and track record of event contracts as their political use grows.
Eurasia Review · +14 outlets
Prediction market on whether Gianni Infantino exits FIFA in 2026
A contract on the FIFA president's tenure reflects trader views on his future at the governing body.
Covers.com · +14 outlets
Market monitor: traders search for a metaphor to describe the midterm landscape
A market-focused column rounds up how election insiders and traders are framing the 2026 cycle.
ingame.com
Contract on what Trump will say this week traded on prediction markets
A novelty-style market tracks expectations around the president's public remarks.
DeFi Rate · +13 outlets

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