Archive snapshot · Politics
Sat, Aug 15, 4:50 AM ET
Washington judge orders Kalshi to halt sports, election and political betting by Sept. 2
A Washington state court has barred Kalshi from offering sports, election and political prediction markets, with a Sept. 2 deadline to comply, dealing a signifi
LegalSportsReport · +14 outlets
AOC overtakes Rubio and Newsom in 2028 Democratic presidential nomination odds on Polymarket
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has surged to the front of 2028 Democratic presidential nominee odds on prediction markets, passing both Gavin Newsom and Marco Rubio a
Washington Examiner · +14 outlets
Prediction markets' reputation tested after surprise Wisconsin election result
A surprise outcome in a Wisconsin election has exposed the limits of prediction markets, drawing criticism from officials and analysts who warn they can erode p
fortune.com · +4 outlets
Baltimore sues Kalshi and Polymarket over alleged illegal sports gambling
The city of Baltimore has filed lawsuits against Kalshi and Polymarket, accusing the prediction market platforms of operating illegal sports gambling.
WBAL-TV · +14 outlets
Feds probe 'mention markets' amid White House Kalshi controversy
Federal investigators are examining 'mention markets' - prediction contracts tied to specific words or phrases - following a controversy involving White House-r
NPR · +2 outlets
Ohio lawmakers weigh in on election betting ban
Ohio state legislators are debating legislation to ban election betting, adding to the patchwork of state-level scrutiny on prediction markets.
State Affairs Pro · +6 outlets
Bernstein sees prediction markets reaching $1 trillion by 2030
Bernstein research projects prediction markets could grow to a $1 trillion industry by 2030, laying out the math behind the bullish forecast.
Yellow.com · +10 outlets
Count Binface receives 80% of bets in Clacton by-election
Novelty candidate Count Binface has drawn 80% of bets in the Clacton by-election after major parties withdrew, creating a potential upset against Nigel Farage.
William Hill News · +6 outlets
Gianni Infantino FIFA exit odds fall as Trump backs president
Odds on Gianni Infantino leaving the FIFA presidency have dropped following reports that Donald Trump is backing a candidate for the role.
Covers.com · +14 outlets
Nigeria: Bettors place millions on Osun State election, majority back Adeleke
Nigerian prediction market bettors have wagered millions on the Osun State election outcome, with most money backing incumbent Governor Ademola Adeleke.
Nairametrics
Trump's next press secretary odds: Top 2026 contenders
Prediction markets are pricing odds on who will become Donald Trump's next press secretary, with several named contenders emerging.
Covers.com · +14 outlets
2026 California Governor odds: Becerra vs. Hilton
Prediction markets show Xavier Becerra and Paris Hilton as leading candidates in the 2026 California governor race.
DeFi Rate · +14 outlets
Will California Proposition 40 pass? Wealth-tax odds
Prediction markets are pricing the likelihood of California's Proposition 40, a wealth-tax measure, passing in the 2026 election.
DeFi Rate · +14 outlets
Florida gaming donations top $12 million through July
Campaign contributions from Florida's gaming industry have surpassed $12 million through July 2026, reflecting the scale of political influence spending.
PlayUSA · +14 outlets
Who will control Congress after 2026 midterms? Latest polls and odds
Polling and prediction markets show a competitive race for control of Congress in the 2026 midterm elections.
PhillyBurbs · +14 outlets
Brazil election odds: Lula regains advantage over Flavio Bolsonaro ahead of October vote
Brazilian election odds show President Lula da Silva has regained a lead over Flavio Bolsonaro as the October election approaches.
Oddschecker
Prediction markets aren't magic, says Silver Bulletin
Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin publishes a critical take on prediction markets, arguing they are not inherently superior to other forecasting tools.
Silver Bulletin · +1 outlets
Are sports prediction markets legal? Status of Kalshi and Polymarket in all 50 states
A state-by-state overview of the legal status of sports prediction markets from Kalshi and Polymarket across the U.S.
cbssports.com · +14 outlets

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