Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has drawn even with or surpassed Gavin Newsom for the first time on Polymarket's 2028 Democratic nominee contract, though traditional p

Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley's upset victory over socialist Francesca Hong in the Democratic gubernatorial primary reshaped the race's market odds f

Hong was favored on prediction markets but lost decisively, prompting analysts and officials to question the reliability of election betting as a forecasting to

NYC officials are investigating how platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket market election betting to consumers, amid broader concerns about voter trust and gambl

Washington state regulators ordered Kalshi to cease offering prediction markets in the state, highlighting the patchwork of state-level enforcement against elec

Silver Bulletin's election model shows Democrats as favorites to win the Senate majority while prediction markets remain more skeptical, underscoring methodolog

Former broadcaster Michelle Tafoya secured the GOP nomination but faces long odds in the general election against Democratic incumbent Tina Smith.

Democratic state Rep. James Talarico has overtaken incumbent Attorney General Ken Paxton in Kalshi odds for the Texas attorney general race.

Prediction markets now show President Lula as the favorite ahead of Brazil's October election, reversing a period where Flavio Bolsonaro led.

Sports betting and casino operators are spending heavily on state-level campaigns as Florida voters consider gambling expansion measures.

Kalshi's 'Trump out as president' contract allows betting on whether Donald Trump leaves office early, reflecting continued interest in niche political event ma

Prediction markets rate the Maine Senate contest between incumbent Susan Collins and Democrat David Jackson as a tight race.

Markets are pricing whether Benjamin Netanyahu will be replaced as prime minister in Israel's upcoming October election.

Prediction markets are tracking the possibility of Count Binface defeating Nigel Farage in the Clacton by-election, though the race remains highly uncertain.

CryptoSlate examines prediction market contracts pricing the likelihood of a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by specific dates.

DeFi Rate reports on market odds for a California wealth tax proposal, reflecting interest in policy-specific prediction contracts.

Markets are pricing the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election as the state prepares for a competitive cycle.

Covers.com surveys the 2028 Republican presidential nomination odds across prediction market platforms.