AOC surpasses Newsom as 2028 Democratic presidential favorite on Polymarket for first time
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez overtakes Gavin Newsom in prediction market odds for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, marking a shift in early betting sent
NewsNation · +8 outlets
Nate Silver election model shows Democrats favored to flip Senate; prediction markets disagree
Nate Silver's new model gives Democrats the edge to take control of the Senate, while Polymarket and Kalshi odds remain more cautious.
benzinga.com · +14 outlets
David Crowley wins Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor, shifts prediction market odds
Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley defeated socialist Francesca Hong in a stunning upset, flipping Democratic chances in the Wisconsin governor's race.
Covers.com · +9 outlets
Democrat Talarico surges ahead of Ken Paxton in Texas Senate race prediction markets
For the first time, betting markets show Democrat James Talarico leading incumbent Republican Sen. Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate race.
MishTalk · +14 outlets
New York City Council launches probe into prediction market platforms' marketing strategies
NYC investigates how prediction market platforms market to users, amid broader state-level legal uncertainty over election betting ahead of the midterms.
CNBC · +14 outlets
Minnesota primary: Michelle Tafoya wins Republican Senate nomination as heavy underdog in November
Former broadcaster Michelle Tafoya secures the GOP Senate primary but remains a significant underdog against incumbent Sen. Amy Klobuchar in the general electio
Oddschecker · +3 outlets
FlightAware sues Kalshi over flight cancellation prediction markets
FlightAware files a lawsuit against Kalshi alleging unauthorized use of its flight data for prediction market contracts on flight cancellations.
Technology Org · +14 outlets
Gambling industry pours $12.2M into Florida 2026 midterms led by Seminole Tribe
The Seminole Tribe and other gambling interests are spending heavily in Florida's 2026 elections, the largest such push from the industry.
bettorsinsider.com · +1 outlets
Minnesota tribes see primary win as springboard for prediction market pressure
Native American tribes in Minnesota view key primary victories as leverage to push for expanded sports betting and prediction market operations.
CDC Gaming · +1 outlets
Maine Senate odds: Collins vs Jackson on Kalshi
Prediction markets show odds for the Maine Senate race between Republican Sen. Susan Collins and Democrat David Jackson.
OddsShopper · +9 outlets
Trump departure from office prediction market launches on Kalshi
Kalshi now offers a market on whether President Trump will leave office before the end of his term, drawing interest as a novelty political contract.
Covers.com · +14 outlets
California wealth tax odds listed on prediction markets
A prediction market on California enacting a wealth tax has opened, reflecting ongoing policy debate in the state.
DeFi Rate · +14 outlets
Robinhood lists Clacton by-election margin of victory market
Robinhood expands into UK political prediction markets with a contract on the Clacton by-election margin of victory.
Robinhood
EU referendum odds: bookies say no rejoining vote before 2035
A decade after the Brexit vote, UK bookmakers rate a referendum on rejoining the EU as unlikely before 2035.
OLBG