Archive snapshot · Politics
Mon, Aug 3, 4:48 AM ET
Robinhood Prediction Market Revenue Surpasses Stock Trading Revenue for First Time
Robinhood's prediction markets segment has overtaken stock trading as a revenue source, marking a major milestone in the company's business model shift.
The Information · +14 outlets
Kalshi Senators Scrutiny: Platform Wants Prediction Markets Seen Like Polling
Kalshi is lobbying to have prediction markets treated similarly to polling data, but senators remain unconvinced about the regulatory approach.
The Boston Globe · +12 outlets
2028 Presidential Election Odds: Full Field of 30 Candidates Scored Across Prediction Markets
Prediction markets are pricing a wide field of potential 2028 Republican and Democratic nominees, with AI model verdicts compared against market prices.
OddsShopper · +7 outlets
Kalshi's Proposal to List Prediction Markets on Wall Street Under Scrutiny
Kalshi is testing whether prediction market contracts belong on traditional Wall Street exchanges, raising questions about regulatory classification.
Yellow.com · +14 outlets
2026 Senate and House Control Odds: Model Verdicts vs Market Prices
Prediction markets are pricing the 2026 midterm elections for Senate and House control, with models showing varying confidence versus market odds.
OddsShopper · +11 outlets
Trump Endorsement Boosts Arizona Republican's Election Odds
Donald Trump's complete and total endorsement of an Arizona Republican candidate immediately improved their odds on prediction markets.
wonderwall.com · +14 outlets
2026 North Carolina Governor Race: Cooper at 90% on Prediction Markets
Prediction markets show Democratic candidate Cooper with approximately 90% probability of winning the 2026 North Carolina gubernatorial race.
The Tomahawk · +6 outlets
Farage's Reform UK Gains Support Amid UK Migration Debate
Prediction market odds shift as Reform UK gains support during the illegal migration debate in the UK.
Crypto Briefing · +14 outlets
UK General Election: Labour Favorites After Andy Burnham Bounce
Betfair prices Labour as 6/4 favorites for the next UK general election following a polling bounce for Andy Burnham.
Betfair · +7 outlets
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire Date Odds Across Prediction Markets
Prediction markets are pricing probabilities for a ceasefire date between Russia and Ukraine.
CryptoSlate · +14 outlets
California Wealth Tax Odds on Prediction Markets
Traders are betting on the likelihood of California enacting a wealth tax, reflecting political uncertainty around state fiscal policy.
DeFi Rate · +14 outlets
Trump Attorney General Announcement Odds
Prediction markets are pricing who Donald Trump will announce as his next Attorney General.
DeFi Rate · +14 outlets
Prediction Markets Gauge Global Risks: AI IPOs, Mars Missions, NATO
Platforms are listing markets on AI company IPOs, Mars colonization timelines, and NATO futures as tools for hedging geopolitical risk.
StartupHub.ai
How Traders Gain an Edge on Prediction Markets
CNBC reports that raw odds are insufficient and traders use additional data and strategies to find edges on prediction platforms.
CNBC · +14 outlets
Kalshi Economic Markets: Fed, CPI and Jobs Contracts
Kalshi offers contracts on Federal Reserve decisions, CPI releases, and jobs data for economic hedging.
OddsShopper · +14 outlets
Next Premier of Quebec Odds and Prediction Market Analysis
Prediction markets are pricing the next Premier of Quebec in Canadian provincial politics.
CryptoSlate · +11 outlets
Where Is Kalshi Legal? State-By-State Guide
Kalshi's legality varies by U.S. state with a detailed guide to where the platform is permitted.
OddsShopper · +14 outlets
Prediction Markets Need Prestige Signals to Fulfill Mission
Analysis argues prediction markets require prestige signals and social credibility to effectively aggregate information.
richardhanania.com

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