Polymarket's valuation has surged to $15 billion following a federal license approval, a major jump from its previous $300 million valuation backed by Donald Tr

French regulators ordered ISPs to block Polymarket access, citing illegal gambling concerns; Polymarket intends to challenge the decision through legal means.

Prediction markets saw elevated trading volumes during the 2026 World Cup, with Polymarket and Kalshi pricing all matches, but activity has since declined.

Analyst Tom Lee argues prediction markets are pricing in too-low odds for crypto legislation passage, citing restrictions on informed trading.

Investment research suggests explosive growth ahead for prediction markets as they mature and adoption spreads.

Crypto regulation bill's passage odds have declined on prediction markets as legislative amendments and delays signal reduced near-term prospects.

Multiple sources break down operational differences between the two main U.S. prediction market platforms on fees, available markets, and user incentives.

Research on Polymarket user behavior shows most traders place fewer than 100 trades over six weeks with modest gains or losses.

Prediction market pricing shows roughly one-in-three odds the Federal Reserve raises rates twice in 2026, with debate over whether odds reflect actual policy ri

Prediction market accessibility and legal standing differs across U.S. jurisdictions with specific restrictions in some states.

The NBA has signaled concern about a prediction market on Kalshi tracking internal league matters, arguing the market type violates its interests.

Polymarket odds on LeBron James's next team destination moved sharply as Miami emerged as the leading prediction following market speculation.

GRAI regulatory pressure led Polymarket to restrict access for Irish users.

Market efficiency analysis reveals Polymarket provided superior odds and depth compared to other venues during World Cup event.

Wisconsin Elections Commission warned against betting on ballots; prediction market platforms pushed back on the guidance.

Blockchain infrastructure, particularly Solana, plays growing role in enabling prediction market platforms and trading.

Early 2028 presidential race prediction markets active with candidate odds and state-level betting.

France's action reflects broader policy questions about market access and financial innovation, not just gambling enforcement.